NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	5.4 [702]		MVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): +14.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Comeback	1.7 [600]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -14.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.01	15	69%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Luis Scola	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	71%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	73%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Aaron Brooks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	17	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.05
Tracy McGrady	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.02	21	34%	-0.05	3	-0.10	8	62%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	18	55%	0.17	5	-0.13	11	73%	0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	15	53%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	15	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	10	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.4	30.5	15.4	22.5	2.6	32.2	134.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.4%

HOU +3.8%

HOU +2.1%

HOU +1.8%

HOU +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.4	97.9	89.5	105.7
season	16.2	16.4		104.6	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.2		104.1	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.4	15.2	15.0	16.2	15.7
CLE	13.0	14.2	16.3	15.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	38	38	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-2	12	16.1	15.4	0.61	14.9	14.5	0.39
Bonzi Wells	34	36	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-6	20	16.1	15.5	0.63	16.9	13.2	3.68
Tracy McGrady	82	82	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	4	0	15.8	15.2	0.61	14.3	16.7	-2.39
Rafer Alston	79	78	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	6	-4	15.7	15.7	-0.08	14.2	16.8	-2.67
Luis Scola	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	5	-2	15.7	15.7	-0.05	14.8	14.3	0.48
Luther Head	20	21	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	5	-2	16.2	15.5	0.65	16.0	14.2	1.76
Yao Ming	75	74	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	7	-6	15.5	16.3	-0.78	13.8	17.5	-3.71
Aaron Brooks	13	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	4	0	15.2	15.8	-0.61	16.7	14.3	2.39
Shane Battier	67	66	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	11	-14	15.6	15.9	-0.35	13.7	16.8	-3.16
Steve Novak	7	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	6	-4	13.3	15.9	-2.59	18.5	14.3	4.22

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	61	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-9	10	15.1	13.7	1.40	15.3	16.3	-0.99
Damon Jones	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-8	8	16.9	14.4	2.49	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Ira Newble	54	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-8	8	14.4	14.9	-0.52	15.9	15.3	0.64
Dwayne Jones	12	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-7	6	14.1	14.7	-0.63	15.9	15.7	0.23
Drew Gooden	62	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-7	6	14.6	14.6	-0.01	15.7	15.6	0.06
Larry Hughes	77	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-5	2	14.0	17.3	-3.26	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Devin Brown	21	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	17.0	13.9	3.10	15.5	15.7	-0.21
LeBron James	83	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	0	-8	14.3	16.6	-2.23	15.9	14.3	1.60
Donyell Marshall	46	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	2	-12	13.5	15.7	-2.15	15.8	15.6	0.26
Daniel Gibson	50	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	5	-18	15.4	13.8	1.66	15.6	15.7	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
TOR 98, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
SAS 95, CHA 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.7%