inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 80 Excitement2.9 [1183] MVPRichard Hamilton (DET): +8.2%
Detroit Pistons 96 Comeback1.3 [1184] LVPDanny Granger (IND): -10.7%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Owens0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.050.000.01-0.04945%0.061-0.00475%-0.01
Kareem Rush0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01750%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Stephen Graham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03656%0.0000.00475%-0.00
Ike Diogu0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.08864%0.0000.006100%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.000,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00950%0.021-0.024100%0.02
Shawne Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.06-0.00-0.061029%-0.0000.004100%0.02
Jeff Foster-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.00-0.00940%-0.0200.002100%0.01
David Harrison-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00250%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.03917%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Danny Granger-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.00945%0.005-0.112100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.026117%0.123-0.0400%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.02961%0.081-0.015100%0.02
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.031061%0.0600.00333%-0.02
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.060.01-0.10840%0.052-0.00450%-0.01
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00657%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.041048%0.032-0.003100%0.01
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02167%0.0000.0010%0.00
Walter Herrmann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.01750%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05425%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.001243%-0.021-0.004100%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.05621%-0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.61.829.416.625.72.832.2138.0
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +36.7%
IND -2.3%
DET +6.5%
DET +8.4%
DET +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDETNBAINDDETNBA
this game14.416.915.487.0104.3105.7
season13.816.8104.5108.8
opponent15.815.2101.3105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.116.515.011.214.4
DET19.115.515.018.316.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Graham2524-0.00-0.500.49-0.279-253411.215.6-4.3118.316.41.85
Ike Diogu2726-0.01-0.490.49-0.279-253410.915.8-4.9418.316.41.98
David Harrison3940-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-141212.815.5-2.7117.316.60.75
Shawne Williams3536-0.11-0.390.290.13-8-8013.315.0-1.6717.216.70.44
Andre Owens4746-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-131012.716.1-3.3917.516.31.20
Kareem Rush3940-0.28-0.22-0.060.16-15-1-1415.513.51.9716.417.3-0.84
Troy Murphy4443-0.35-0.15-0.190.04-13-3-1016.212.73.4116.317.5-1.21
Danny Granger5253-0.38-0.12-0.260.24-215-2614.713.90.7617.116.70.36
Marquis Daniels6161-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.23-5-11614.813.51.2516.917.0-0.11
Jeff Foster3938-0.38-0.12-0.270.09-160-1616.812.64.2415.917.6-1.66
Mike Dunleavy5253-0.41-0.09-0.330.03-15-1-1416.112.23.8616.118.1-2.05

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups57560.54-0.040.59-0.2226-103615.818.7-2.9416.111.74.46
Rasheed Wallace39390.390.110.28-0.1418-22016.517.2-0.7115.713.42.37
Richard Hamilton36380.370.130.24-0.2822-62815.517.8-2.3416.013.22.76
Amir Johnson60590.280.220.050.0779-217.016.70.3113.515.9-2.38
Jarvis Hayes22210.270.230.030.0097215.317.4-2.1116.413.82.65
Tayshaun Prince54540.230.27-0.03-0.09115617.715.81.8414.414.4-0.07
Antonio McDyess32330.220.28-0.05-0.0497216.717.0-0.3115.913.52.38
Jason Maxiell42420.100.40-0.310.01313-1017.616.41.2413.714.9-1.23
Rodney Stuckey44440.070.43-0.350.25-622-2818.015.92.0612.815.8-2.99
Walter Herrmann17180.010.49-0.470.13-420-2415.717.2-1.4912.514.8-2.34
Arron Afflalo47460.010.49-0.470.31-1026-3618.415.42.9412.416.3-3.93
Primoz Brezec10100.000.50-0.500.15-521-2617.216.90.3111.114.8-3.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 114, LAL 1320.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
MIN 97, GSW 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
SAC 93, POR 1050.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%