NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	84		Excitement	1.4 [743]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +7.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	1.8 [881]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -20.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Alexander Johnson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	45%	0.03	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Daequan Cook	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.06	-0.05	13	32%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.04	0.04	17	42%	-0.03	6	-0.17	11	82%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	5	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	35%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	16	50%	0.06	3	-0.08	10	70%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.03	19	57%	0.14	6	-0.18	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	35.5	14.8	28.7	2.0	33.4	142.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +48.6%

PHI +1.0%

PHI +2.5%

MIA -1.0%

MIA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	15.4	90.3	106.3	105.7
season	16.0	15.2		99.0	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.4		104.2	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.1	17.5	14.6	19.7	16.2
PHI	13.6	15.3	13.6	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	64	66	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-22	27	15.7	17.3	-1.56	15.0	13.2	1.75
Alexander Johnson	14	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-17	17	17.1	16.1	0.98	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Jason Williams	75	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-10	3	15.2	20.4	-5.15	13.9	16.4	-2.50
Dwyane Wade	76	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-11	5	16.9	13.4	3.53	14.7	13.3	1.41
Chris Quinn	19	20	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-9	1	20.3	15.2	5.13	15.6	14.1	1.56
Ricky Davis	79	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-4	-9	16.3	15.6	0.70	14.3	14.9	-0.53
Dorell Wright	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.00	-16	-1	-15	15.9	18.5	-2.68	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Earl Barron	30	32	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.01	-18	1	-19	16.1	16.3	-0.25	14.3	14.5	-0.16
Daequan Cook	28	30	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.02	-22	5	-27	16.0	16.3	-0.29	13.9	14.6	-0.71

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	40	39	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	1	15	13.4	15.2	-1.76	17.8	15.1	2.73
Thaddeus Young	65	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	7	3	14.9	13.5	1.39	15.7	17.2	-1.48
Andre Miller	86	85	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	2	13	14.2	16.9	-2.73	16.0	18.7	-2.75
Reggie Evans	51	47	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	6	5	14.9	13.9	1.04	16.3	16.2	0.08
Lou Williams	42	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	9	-1	13.5	15.2	-1.65	15.4	16.9	-1.47
Andre Iguodala	79	79	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	6	5	14.3	15.1	-0.85	16.2	16.2	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	14	-11	13.5	15.2	-1.69	16.2	16.3	-0.05
Kevin Ollie	10	9	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	13	-9	19.7	13.8	5.90	18.2	16.0	2.20
Willie Green	45	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	15	-13	15.2	13.8	1.40	15.5	16.9	-1.44
Jason Smith	15	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	12	-7	15.3	14.2	1.08	18.6	15.8	2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	92.9%
LAC 89, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.6%
TOR 88, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.98,1	92.5%