NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	93		Excitement	5.4 [691]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +53.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	47.8 [29]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -39.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.02	10	74%	0.18	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	63%	0.12	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Acie Law	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.4	-0.12	-0.32	-0.04	24	39%	-0.32	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.54	0.54	0.14	0.42	0.03	15	65%	0.56	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.03	8	78%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.02	14	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	8	28%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.3	29.1	14.8	22.1	2.4	35.2	130.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +15.3%

POR +30.6%

ATL -24.9%

POR +24.4%

POR +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	19.2	15.4	113.4	119.0	105.7
season	15.4	16.7		104.2	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.1	17.0	18.3	18.5	16.6
POR	20.5	18.2	20.7	17.5	19.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	60	59	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.07	6	-7	13	16.3	17.4	-1.01	19.9	17.2	2.68
Acie Law	28	25	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.15	-4	3	-7	17.0	16.4	0.63	18.8	19.4	-0.53
Mario West	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	2	-5	2.0	16.8	-14.80	15.0	19.3	-4.26
Tyronn Lue	8	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	2	-5	14.0	16.9	-2.91	13.5	19.7	-6.17
Zaza Pachulia	25	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.21	-9	8	-17	17.8	16.1	1.69	18.7	19.4	-0.72
Joe Johnson	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.52	2	-3	5	16.9	14.0	2.91	19.7	13.5	6.17
Josh Smith	53	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.68	6	-7	13	16.7	16.5	0.16	19.5	18.7	0.76
Anthony Johnson	54	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.62	3	-4	7	16.4	17.0	-0.63	19.4	18.8	0.53
Marvin Williams	62	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.55	-1	0	-1	16.6	16.5	0.10	18.6	20.9	-2.27
Josh Childress	45	42	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.53	-2	1	-3	16.6	16.7	-0.15	19.1	19.3	-0.18

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	52	56	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.35	15	-14	29	18.4	20.8	-2.39	17.2	15.5	1.70
Jarrett Jack	26	29	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.62	5	-4	9	17.1	20.2	-3.17	16.1	16.9	-0.75
Travis Outlaw	43	47	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.45	10	-9	19	18.2	20.4	-2.13	16.7	16.6	0.09
LaMarcus Aldridge	51	50	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.65	0	1	-1	19.4	18.9	0.54	16.4	17.0	-0.62
Brandon Roy	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.53	1	0	1	19.5	17.5	1.99	16.7	16.1	0.68
Sergio Rodriguez	26	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.25	8	-7	15	18.7	19.5	-0.76	17.2	16.3	0.90
Channing Frye	40	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.20	3	-2	5	19.2	19.2	0.05	17.5	15.6	1.92
Joel Przybilla	24	24	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.05	-11	12	-23	20.5	18.6	1.86	15.4	17.1	-1.70
Martell Webster	27	26	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.12	-14	15	-29	20.8	18.4	2.39	15.5	17.2	-1.70
Steve Blake	40	40	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.04	-12	13	-25	20.4	18.0	2.37	16.3	16.9	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,1	93.9%
ATL 88, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.27,1	92.7%
DAL 103, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.09,0.27,1	92.6%