inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 93 Excitement5.4 [691] MVPBrandon Roy (POR): +53.6%
Portland Trail Blazers 94 Comeback47.8 [29] LVPJoe Johnson (ATL): -39.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.110.04-0.021074%0.181-0.013100%0.01
Anthony Johnson0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.02-0.00967%0.1000.0000%0.00
Josh Smith0.050,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.050.010.02-0.011363%0.124-0.061100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00480%0.061-0.0220%-0.03
Acie Law0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Al Horford0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.00556%0.021-0.02650%-0.02
Tyronn Lue0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Childress-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01733%-0.011-0.031100%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.400,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.4-0.12-0.32-0.042439%-0.324-0.081100%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Roy0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.540.540.140.420.031565%0.561-0.02786%-0.01
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.03878%0.081-0.032100%0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.00762%0.061-0.032100%0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.021167%0.062-0.032100%0.01
Joel Przybilla0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.060.021454%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Martell Webster0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.000.00828%-0.071-0.01250%-0.01
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.00333%-0.023-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.72.329.114.822.12.435.2130.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +15.3%
POR +30.6%
ATL -24.9%
POR +24.4%
POR +4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLPORNBAATLPORNBA
this game16.619.215.4113.4119.0105.7
season15.416.7104.2105.5
opponent15.415.7106.1107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.117.018.318.516.6
POR20.518.220.717.519.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford60590.25-0.751.000.076-71316.317.4-1.0119.917.22.68
Acie Law28250.04-0.540.570.15-43-717.016.40.6318.819.4-0.53
Mario West11-0.03-0.470.440.06-32-52.016.8-14.8015.019.3-4.26
Tyronn Lue86-0.04-0.460.410.04-32-514.016.9-2.9113.519.7-6.17
Zaza Pachulia2523-0.05-0.450.400.21-98-1717.816.11.6918.719.4-0.72
Joe Johnson7473-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.522-3516.914.02.9119.713.56.17
Josh Smith5353-0.500.00-0.51-0.686-71316.716.50.1619.518.70.76
Anthony Johnson5454-0.540.04-0.57-0.623-4716.417.0-0.6319.418.80.53
Marvin Williams6259-0.570.07-0.65-0.55-10-116.616.50.1018.620.9-2.27
Josh Childress4542-0.590.09-0.68-0.53-21-316.616.7-0.1519.119.3-0.18

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Jones52560.79-0.291.070.3515-142918.420.8-2.3917.215.51.70
Jarrett Jack26290.77-0.271.040.625-4917.120.2-3.1716.116.9-0.75
Travis Outlaw43470.74-0.240.990.4510-91918.220.4-2.1316.716.60.09
LaMarcus Aldridge51500.65-0.150.800.6501-119.418.90.5416.417.0-0.62
Brandon Roy66670.56-0.060.610.5310119.517.51.9916.716.10.68
Sergio Rodriguez2628-0.010.51-0.52-0.258-71518.719.5-0.7617.216.30.90
Channing Frye4043-0.120.62-0.73-0.203-2519.219.20.0517.515.61.92
Joel Przybilla2424-0.280.78-1.050.05-1112-2320.518.61.8615.417.1-1.70
Martell Webster2726-0.290.79-1.070.12-1415-2920.818.42.3915.517.2-1.70
Steve Blake4040-0.320.82-1.130.04-1213-2520.418.02.3716.316.9-0.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 96, IND 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,193.9%
ATL 88, BOS 890.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.27,192.7%
DAL 103, LAL 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.09,0.27,192.6%