NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	5.2 [764]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): +40.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	1110.1 [1]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -28.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.41,0.41	0.12	0.27	-0.01	17	69%	0.42	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	92%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	0.07	-0.09	0.05	11	72%	-0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Michael Finley	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	19	28%	-0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.09,0.05,-0.28	-0.03	-0.27	-0.01	18	52%	-0.04	3	-0.24	6	100%	0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.36	0.36	0.07	0.31	0.02	5	80%	0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.3	0.30	-0.02	0.28	-0.04	19	61%	0.39	6	-0.08	6	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	87%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	47%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.06	0.04	5	69%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.11
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	12	62%	-0.02	4	-0.08	18	56%	-0.07
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.01	0.01	12	32%	-0.10	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	3.3	29.3	17.5	24.5	3.3	38.5	146.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +60.7%

DAL -21.5%

LAL +25.6%

DAL -0.6%

DAL -14.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.5	108.4	110.5	101.6
season	15.1	15.4		108.6	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		102.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	14.2	18.4	17.0	15.9
LAL	16.4	14.6	15.9	11.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	32	35	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.33	-1	-1	0	16.8	15.4	1.46	12.1	15.8	-3.64
Adrian Griffin	33	34	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.21	17	-19	36	13.8	17.0	-3.10	15.4	13.9	1.51
Raja Bell	5	7	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-8	14	11.6	16.1	-4.51	15.3	14.4	0.91
Popeye Jones	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	1	-4	15.1	15.9	-0.79	17.0	14.2	2.76
Shawn Bradley	36	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	10	-22	15.7	16.0	-0.24	14.3	14.5	-0.29
Raef LaFrentz	34	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	3	-8	16.8	15.3	1.48	15.2	14.0	1.13
Dirk Nowitzki	89	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.64	5	-7	12	15.6	19.5	-3.87	14.6	12.7	1.96
Michael Finley	91	90	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	3	-8	16.1	11.2	4.83	14.3	16.6	-2.28
Nick Van Exel	69	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.48	-6	4	-10	16.4	14.6	1.79	14.0	15.7	-1.77
Steve Nash	79	79	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.50	-6	4	-10	15.9	15.6	0.37	14.9	12.3	2.56

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	47	46	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.32	19	-17	36	13.2	15.7	-2.52	15.7	16.1	-0.43
Shaquille O'Neal	77	79	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.25	19	-17	36	14.7	13.2	1.51	16.4	13.4	2.93
Devean George	39	41	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.21	20	-18	38	12.6	15.7	-3.19	16.3	15.5	0.82
Robert Horry	60	63	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.60	4	-2	6	14.6	14.2	0.34	16.3	15.0	1.36
Kobe Bryant	84	85	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.52	-2	4	-6	14.1	17.0	-2.89	16.0	15.2	0.75
Kareem Rush	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	3	-4	14.6	14.4	0.20	15.4	15.9	-0.54
Samaki Walker	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.22	-11	13	-24	12.8	14.6	-1.84	12.5	16.2	-3.68
Tracy Murray	28	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.19	3	-1	4	14.0	14.6	-0.63	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Slava Medvedenko	14	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	10	-18	15.9	14.2	1.74	13.4	16.3	-2.88
Derek Fisher	51	51	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.03	-12	14	-26	16.1	12.5	3.66	16.0	15.7	0.32
Rick Fox	58	55	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	0.16	-21	23	-44	15.3	13.1	2.23	15.5	16.4	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.09,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,1	92.6%
NJN 90, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.27,1	92.5%
CHI 96, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,1	91.9%