NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	4.4 [914]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): +5.7%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	249.0 [8]		LVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): -30.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.07	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	8	78%	0.08	5	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	10	36%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.16	-0.01	-0.12	16	36%	-0.02	5	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.31	-0.07	-0.26	-0.02	20	43%	-0.10	2	-0.21	4	75%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.09	-0.00	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.05,0.02	0.02	-0.10	0.09	-0.02	21	49%	0.07	3	-0.05	15	80%	0.12
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	71%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	18	55%	0.00	6	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	435.6	2.3	28.7	18.6	26.0	2.5	44.5	558.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -8.6%

BOS +35.8%

BOS +1.4%

BOS +22.3%

NJN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	13.1	15.6	87.4	91.3	102.3
season	14.7	15.0		101.4	100.9
opponent	15.7	16.0		98.8	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	11.8	16.4	14.4	17.2	14.9
BOS	13.4	13.6	13.8	11.6	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	46	46	0.53	-1.03	1.56	-0.26	27	-31	58	14.3	15.3	-0.95	14.3	12.2	2.12
Richard Jefferson	50	48	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.27	-3	-1	-2	14.0	15.6	-1.62	12.2	13.9	-1.68
Jason Collins	15	13	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-6	8	16.5	14.6	1.89	13.8	13.0	0.85
Anthony Johnson	10	10	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	3	-10	16.3	14.7	1.60	13.9	13.0	0.88
Kenyon Martin	76	78	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-10	16	14.2	16.7	-2.46	13.2	12.9	0.25
Kerry Kittles	77	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.70	11	-15	26	14.8	15.0	-0.25	13.3	12.5	0.85
Jason Kidd	93	93	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.47	3	-7	10	14.7	16.3	-1.60	13.0	13.9	-0.88
Keith Van Horn	37	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	7	-18	15.9	14.3	1.58	14.5	12.3	2.21
Lucious Harris	55	56	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.29	-17	13	-30	15.5	14.1	1.40	12.4	14.0	-1.60
Aaron Williams	56	57	-1.00	0.50	-1.49	-0.09	-31	27	-58	15.2	14.4	0.87	12.2	14.3	-2.12

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	80	79	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.23	19	-15	34	13.5	11.6	1.93	15.3	13.5	1.82
Tony Delk	58	60	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.21	18	-14	32	11.6	15.0	-3.36	15.4	14.1	1.35
Rodney Rogers	46	47	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.51	6	-2	8	11.0	14.8	-3.77	14.6	15.1	-0.48
Antoine Walker	100	99	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-1	6	13.3	5.3	8.01	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Paul Pierce	98	97	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	4	-4	13.2	12.2	0.95	14.7	17.3	-2.63
Eric Williams	51	52	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	13	-22	14.4	11.8	2.62	15.2	14.5	0.80
Tony Battie	59	59	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.18	0	4	-4	14.5	11.2	3.28	15.0	14.7	0.30
Walter McCarty	23	22	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.20	-19	23	-42	11.7	13.5	-1.76	11.9	15.7	-3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,1	92.5%
DAL 103, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.09,0.27,1	92.5%
CHI 96, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,1	91.4%