NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	100		Excitement	6.1 [564]		MVP	Linas Kleiza (DEN): +13.2%
Denver Nuggets	107		Comeback	1.6 [862]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -21.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.03	16	53%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	17	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Josh Childress	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.16	-0.04	0.02	23	42%	-0.04	7	-0.18	7	86%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	18	57%	0.13	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	14	59%	0.12	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	117%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.06	-0.03	8	44%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	21	48%	0.06	3	-0.05	18	83%	0.04
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	65%	0.09	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	31.3	15.4	27.6	2.4	30.5	133.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.6%

DEN +22.4%

ATL -18.3%

DEN +0.8%

DEN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DEN	NBA	ATL	DEN	NBA
this game	14.1	12.7	15.4	92.6	100.0	105.7
season	15.4	13.3		104.2	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.7		105.4	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	13.2	13.8	14.2	14.1
DEN	12.2	11.6	11.9	15.2	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-7	7	0.0	14.3	-14.25	5.0	12.7	-7.74
Al Horford	67	68	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.23	7	-14	21	13.4	15.3	-1.89	12.8	12.4	0.40
Anthony Johnson	76	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-13	19	13.7	15.0	-1.29	12.9	12.1	0.80
Shelden Williams	9	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	2	-11	22.1	13.4	8.72	8.1	13.0	-4.91
Solomon Jones	22	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	13.0	14.4	-1.46	13.0	12.6	0.41
Tyronn Lue	40	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-5	3	14.1	14.1	-0.07	13.4	12.3	1.09
Acie Law	8	9	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	4	-15	18.6	13.8	4.86	10.3	12.9	-2.54
Marvin Williams	80	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-5	3	13.8	15.1	-1.38	13.2	11.0	2.23
Josh Childress	58	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	4	-15	14.1	14.2	-0.15	12.2	13.1	-0.88
Josh Smith	92	92	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-4	1	14.3	13.2	1.02	12.5	13.7	-1.24
Joe Johnson	87	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	14.5	12.7	1.75	12.6	12.7	-0.09

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yakhouba Diawara	45	47	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-6	19	12.0	13.2	-1.18	14.5	13.8	0.73
Marcus Camby	94	93	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-2	11	12.5	13.8	-1.35	14.3	13.1	1.15
Allen Iverson	98	99	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	4	-1	13.0	9.0	4.00	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Linas Kleiza	92	90	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	4	-1	12.6	12.9	-0.31	13.9	15.1	-1.12
Kenyon Martin	84	84	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	3	1	12.4	13.5	-1.04	14.4	13.1	1.33
Eduardo Najera	35	38	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	6	-5	13.9	12.1	1.77	13.4	14.5	-1.04
Anthony Carter	78	78	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	9	-11	12.5	13.1	-0.65	13.9	14.6	-0.62
J.R. Smith	9	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	3	1	13.6	12.6	0.97	13.9	14.1	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
DET 88, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%
SAS 84, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%