NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	96		Excitement	2.9 [1192]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +6.4%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.0 [1305]		LVP	Earl Watson (SEA): -6.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.16	-0.00	0.14	15	68%	0.03	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	53%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.01	0.06	7	80%	0.04	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Delonte West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	12	24%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	53%	0.02	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	16	61%	0.07	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	14	55%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	27.5	16.4	28.5	2.6	27.0	129.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.1%

SEA -9.8%

DAL +9.6%

DAL +11.2%

DAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	13.1	15.8	15.4	97.0	111.0	105.7
season	14.5	16.1		99.1	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.0		105.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.9	13.7	14.1	11.5	13.1
DAL	15.3	14.5	14.7	19.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-18	21	14.5	13.0	1.49	18.2	15.7	2.49
Wally Szczerbiak	60	61	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-26	37	12.1	14.6	-2.54	17.6	13.1	4.43
Luke Ridnour	44	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-22	29	12.7	13.4	-0.71	18.3	13.8	4.51
Chris Wilcox	38	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-15	15	12.7	13.3	-0.59	16.5	15.4	1.08
Delonte West	24	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-14	13	12.5	13.3	-0.85	17.2	15.3	1.89
Kurt Thomas	57	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-11	7	13.5	12.6	0.84	16.4	15.0	1.43
Damien Wilkins	26	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-2	-11	13.7	12.9	0.85	14.5	16.3	-1.75
Nick Collison	78	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	-2	-11	13.1	13.2	-0.17	15.6	16.8	-1.21
Earl Watson	55	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.15	-22	7	-29	13.4	12.7	0.71	13.8	18.3	-4.51
Jeff Green	55	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.15	-22	7	-29	13.4	12.7	0.71	13.8	18.3	-4.51
Kevin Durant	52	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	6	-27	13.7	12.5	1.20	14.8	16.9	-2.05

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	77	77	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	4	7	16.2	14.7	1.53	13.0	13.4	-0.34
Dirk Nowitzki	73	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	2	11	15.9	15.7	0.12	13.3	12.7	0.60
Devin Harris	52	52	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.15	17	-2	19	14.8	16.9	-2.05	13.7	12.4	1.29
Eddie Jones	30	30	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	1	13	13.5	16.8	-3.28	15.0	12.3	2.72
DeSagana Diop	41	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	10	-5	16.2	15.5	0.70	12.1	13.8	-1.71
Erick Dampier	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	9	-3	15.5	16.1	-0.61	14.5	12.0	2.56
Jason Terry	63	60	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	12	-9	16.8	14.2	2.56	12.3	14.3	-1.99
Jerry Stackhouse	36	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	15	-15	16.0	15.7	0.27	12.6	13.4	-0.72
Trenton Hassell	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	16	-17	16.5	15.4	1.08	12.7	13.4	-0.68
Brandon Bass	40	40	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	9	-3	15.7	15.9	-0.18	12.3	13.7	-1.39
Jose Juan Barea	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	16.2	15.8	0.44	12.0	13.1	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MEM 74, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NJN 94, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%