NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	74		Excitement	2.5 [1274]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +10.2%
New Jersey Nets	86		Comeback	1.1 [1197]		LVP	Eddie Jones (MEM): -10.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	12	72%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	17	52%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Brian Cardinal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	7	0%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.19	-0.00	0.08	11	84%	0.14	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	19	53%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	6	42%	0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	29.3	15.3	22.5	2.4	24.3	117.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +31.9%

NJN +5.0%

NJN +10.2%

NJN +0.3%

NJN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NJN	NBA	MEM	NJN	NBA
this game	17.2	17.3	15.6	88.1	103.6	104.4
season	17.1	15.7		103.5	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.9	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.2	16.6	14.8	18.6	17.2
NJN	17.6	16.1	17.9	17.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Roberts	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	15.1	17.4	-2.32	16.8	17.3	-0.55
Hakim Warrick	29	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.26	8	-20	28	16.9	17.4	-0.45	18.4	16.7	1.70
Bobby Jackson	45	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-22	32	16.6	17.9	-1.35	18.7	15.7	2.97
Brian Cardinal	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-12	12	14.2	17.9	-3.68	20.6	16.5	4.16
Dahntay Jones	41	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-17	22	15.7	18.7	-2.92	19.3	15.2	4.09
Lorenzen Wright	36	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-2	-8	17.6	17.0	0.62	17.6	17.0	0.69
Mike Miller	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-12	12	16.4	18.9	-2.50	17.8	16.2	1.60
Shane Battier	43	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	5	-22	18.7	15.7	2.92	15.2	19.3	-4.09
Pau Gasol	65	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	6	-24	18.0	14.6	3.42	16.4	19.8	-3.41
Chucky Atkins	39	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.18	-22	10	-32	17.9	16.6	1.35	15.7	18.7	-2.97
Eddie Jones	42	41	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.16	-22	10	-32	18.5	16.0	2.55	15.5	19.0	-3.42

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	64	64	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.00	18	-6	24	16.4	20.2	-3.75	18.1	14.3	3.78
Richard Jefferson	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	3	6	16.9	19.1	-2.17	17.6	15.5	2.14
Vince Carter	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-3	18	17.0	18.5	-1.42	16.7	19.5	-2.81
Nenad Krstic	61	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	-1	14	17.0	17.9	-0.88	16.8	18.4	-1.60
Jason Collins	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	4	4	16.5	18.6	-2.11	18.1	15.9	2.12
Jacque Vaughn	28	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	9	-6	18.2	16.8	1.38	14.5	18.7	-4.14
Clifford Robinson	38	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	18	-24	19.2	15.6	3.64	16.8	17.6	-0.81
Antoine Wright	8	8	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	7	-2	17.1	17.3	-0.16	20.7	16.9	3.89
Zoran Planinic	19	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	17	-22	19.5	16.6	2.86	16.3	17.5	-1.23
Lamond Murray	7	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	12	-12	18.7	17.1	1.58	20.0	16.9	3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 76, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
SEA 96, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIL 81, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%