NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	3.1 [1161]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +14.9%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	1.6 [1175]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): -7.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	20	56%	0.10	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Craig Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.01	0.06	9	73%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Rashad McCants	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	17	51%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	12	46%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	5	8%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	6	106%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.06	10	82%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.02	16	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	14	66%	0.10	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	13	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DJ Strawberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	27.5	15.6	24.0	1.8	28.6	125.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +51.0%

MIN -2.5%

PHX +2.1%

MIN -1.4%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.6	14.1	15.4	101.1	122.3	105.7
season	15.9	13.8		102.2	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.5	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.6	15.3	18.3	16.2	16.6
PHX	12.8	15.3	13.0	15.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	14.5	16.7	-2.18	19.0	13.8	5.17
Chris Richard	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	14.5	16.7	-2.18	19.0	13.8	5.17
Gerald Green	21	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-25	30	16.0	16.7	-0.69	14.8	13.8	1.01
Greg Buckner	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-22	24	15.9	16.7	-0.86	16.1	13.7	2.48
Antoine Walker	33	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-14	8	15.3	17.3	-1.98	14.7	13.7	1.04
Rashad McCants	57	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-9	-2	17.1	15.8	1.28	13.3	15.4	-2.13
Ryan Gomes	42	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-11	2	17.7	15.7	2.00	12.9	15.0	-2.13
Corey Brewer	47	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-12	4	15.5	17.7	-2.19	14.6	13.5	1.13
Craig Smith	44	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-10	0	15.3	17.7	-2.47	14.8	13.4	1.35
Sebastian Telfair	74	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	0	-20	16.8	15.7	1.12	13.8	14.9	-1.04
Al Jefferson	65	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.26	-23	3	-26	17.4	14.7	2.74	13.3	15.4	-2.10
Marko Jaric	65	64	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.14	-26	6	-32	17.2	15.1	2.09	13.9	14.4	-0.56

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	56	55	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.50	39	-19	58	13.7	14.6	-0.93	17.8	14.9	2.84
Shawn Marion	52	52	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.09	21	-1	22	13.5	14.7	-1.15	18.0	14.9	3.12
Raja Bell	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.38	28	-8	36	13.7	15.1	-1.45	17.0	15.5	1.45
Amar'e Stoudemire	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.26	23	-3	26	13.7	14.7	-0.98	17.5	15.0	2.48
Boris Diaw	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.29	22	-2	24	13.6	15.0	-1.32	16.9	15.9	0.95
Leandro Barbosa	64	63	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	8	4	14.4	13.3	1.11	15.5	18.8	-3.31
Eric Piatkowski	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	19.0	13.8	5.17	14.5	16.7	-2.18
Sean Marks	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	16.0	13.8	2.18	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Marcus Banks	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	16.0	13.8	2.18	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Brian Skinner	42	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	31	-42	14.5	13.7	0.85	15.1	17.7	-2.60
DJ Strawberry	38	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.41	-19	39	-58	14.6	13.7	0.93	14.9	17.8	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 66, HOU 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 75, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ORL 74, OKC 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%