NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	75		Excitement	2.9 [1220]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +12.8%
Atlanta Hawks	92		Comeback	1.5 [817]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -7.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	14	38%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	5	90%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	11	32%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	9	56%	0.02	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	12	77%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	8	72%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Louis Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.02	12	64%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	1	0%	0.00	4	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.7	23.8	15.6	24.2	2.4	24.4	113.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +29.6%

CHI -0.8%

ATL +7.6%

ATL +10.6%

ATL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.6	15.4	84.3	104.5	104.1
season	16.6	15.1		101.7	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.8	18.2	19.1	13.6	17.0
ATL	16.6	15.2	15.9	14.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-23	29	12.5	17.7	-5.28	15.5	15.6	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	26	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-24	31	13.6	18.4	-4.79	14.7	15.9	-1.24
Marquis Teague	32	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-25	33	14.3	18.5	-4.14	15.8	15.5	0.32
Taj Gibson	34	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-14	11	17.2	16.8	0.44	14.5	16.2	-1.68
Jimmy Butler	53	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-21	25	16.1	18.2	-2.16	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Nate Robinson	43	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-18	19	15.6	18.3	-2.68	16.0	15.2	0.72
Kirk Hinrich	46	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	1	-19	18.3	15.6	2.68	15.2	16.0	-0.72
Luol Deng	60	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	5	-27	18.2	14.3	3.89	16.0	14.7	1.26
Joakim Noah	60	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	5	-27	18.2	14.3	3.89	16.0	14.7	1.26
Carlos Boozer	39	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	6	-29	18.5	15.8	2.66	15.7	15.5	0.20
Marco Belinelli	39	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.21	-23	6	-29	18.5	15.8	2.66	15.7	15.5	0.20

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	61	60	0.61	-0.12	0.73	-0.15	26	-9	35	15.8	15.1	0.61	18.3	14.3	3.99
Louis Williams	54	54	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.24	29	-12	41	16.0	14.9	1.17	18.5	14.6	3.95
Kyle Korver	47	48	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.32	31	-14	45	16.0	15.0	0.97	18.7	14.9	3.78
Josh Smith	56	56	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	-6	29	15.6	15.6	0.01	18.5	14.4	4.09
Jeff Teague	56	56	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	5	7	15.0	16.6	-1.56	17.3	16.4	0.86
Zaza Pachulia	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	13	-9	15.6	15.6	0.02	17.3	16.7	0.66
Ivan Johnson	29	30	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	20	-23	15.2	15.7	-0.49	14.5	18.2	-3.77
John Jenkins	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	15.5	15.6	-0.03	12.5	17.7	-5.28
Mike Scott	14	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	15.1	15.7	-0.59	12.9	17.8	-4.85
Anthony Morrow	41	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.26	-11	28	-39	15.5	15.6	-0.10	15.0	18.7	-3.63
Anthony Tolliver	31	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.26	-12	29	-41	15.4	15.7	-0.33	14.3	18.5	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
UTA 84, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
VAN 91, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%