inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 84 Excitement3.7 [1093] MVPCorey Brewer (DEN): +8.3%
Denver Nuggets 104 Comeback1.5 [939] LVPMo Williams (UTA): -15.0%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Enes Kanter0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.02872%0.0710.00250%0.00
Gordon Hayward0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.120.000.06794%0.072-0.022100%0.00
Derrick Favors0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00850%0.052-0.054100%0.02
DeMarre Carroll0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Kevin Murphy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Randy Foye-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.031346%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Jamaal Tinsley-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04636%-0.003-0.04250%-0.00
Marvin Williams-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02731%-0.041-0.01250%-0.01
Alec Burks-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.110.00-0.05915%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Paul Millsap-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.021146%-0.012-0.06250%-0.01
Al Jefferson-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.02920%-0.072-0.052100%0.01
Mo Williams-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.02-0.01617%-0.074-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.010.081469%0.0800.001100%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.000.04875%0.0800.00475%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.001156%0.0700.001080%0.01
Andre Iguodala0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.011262%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.01350%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.06333%-0.003-0.0100%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.02643%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.100.00-0.04825%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.051121%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.031232%-0.052-0.03425%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.93.636.217.428.43.428.4143.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +23.6%
UTA -4.7%
DEN +9.0%
DEN +21.2%
DEN +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADENNBAUTADENNBA
this game15.113.415.484.8101.0104.1
season16.014.4104.6108.4
opponent15.415.1104.0105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA14.616.513.416.015.1
DEN13.611.014.315.313.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarre Carroll660.00-0.500.500.09-3-171412.815.2-2.4112.813.5-0.65
Jeremy Evans660.00-0.500.500.09-3-171412.815.2-2.4112.813.5-0.65
Kevin Murphy660.00-0.500.500.09-3-171412.815.2-2.4112.813.5-0.65
Enes Kanter4142-0.00-0.500.490.03-1-191814.315.6-1.3014.312.81.50
Jamaal Tinsley4647-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-191814.016.1-2.0614.712.42.39
Derrick Favors5154-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-202014.415.8-1.4214.712.12.64
Alec Burks2829-0.15-0.350.210.06-7-13615.814.81.0015.012.92.11
Gordon Hayward4648-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-161214.715.5-0.8414.112.91.19
Marvin Williams5253-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-8-12415.714.51.1612.914.0-1.04
Randy Foye6064-0.43-0.07-0.370.01-15-5-1015.115.1-0.0412.814.5-1.67
Al Jefferson4849-0.45-0.05-0.400.14-200-2016.214.12.1512.114.7-2.60
Paul Millsap5255-0.45-0.05-0.410.02-16-4-1215.614.51.0812.814.2-1.35
Mo Williams5356-0.48-0.02-0.460.08-19-1-1816.114.02.0612.414.7-2.39

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson65600.59-0.090.68-0.0622-22413.014.2-1.1315.614.31.27
Kenneth Faried62580.52-0.020.54-0.031911813.213.8-0.6415.714.31.42
Danilo Gallinari53520.350.150.20-0.03137613.014.0-1.0015.314.90.48
Kosta Koufos51520.340.160.180.08911-213.513.40.1615.914.21.77
Andre Iguodala69660.290.210.070.08713-613.014.3-1.2714.616.0-1.39
Andre Miller51500.160.34-0.18-0.131010013.613.30.3214.515.7-1.25
JaVale McGee44390.160.34-0.190.01515-1013.313.6-0.3013.216.3-3.13
Corey Brewer44410.150.35-0.200.03416-1214.112.91.1615.115.10.08
Evan Fournier23230.030.47-0.44-0.09416-1215.312.92.3916.014.81.17
Anthony Randolph880.000.50-0.49-0.17614-813.913.40.4618.914.84.11
Jordan Hamilton660.000.50-0.50-0.09317-1412.813.5-0.6512.815.2-2.41
Timofey Mozgov3940-0.090.59-0.67-0.03-222-2414.013.10.8514.515.5-0.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 100, ATL 1070.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.6%
CHI 75, ATL 920.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
PHX 88, UTA 1160.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%