inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 66 Excitement2.9 [1197] MVPVon Wafer (HOU): +9.6%
Houston Rockets 86 Comeback1.8 [969] LVPRasual Butler (NOH): -11.3%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.001155%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.010.03771%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Hilton Armstrong-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%-0.0000.0020%0.00
Julian Wright-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06520%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.000.08480%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Devin Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.00350%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
David West-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.011544%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Chris Paul-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01845%0.002-0.05475%0.00
Peja Stojakovic-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.01714%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Melvin Ely-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.00729%-0.053-0.0600%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.110,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.01911%-0.1100.0000%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.02-0.031159%0.1010.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.01683%0.0900.0000%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.041369%0.073-0.036100%0.02
Luis Scola0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.03844%0.0300.002100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.02540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.045100%0.053-0.0500%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01736%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02350%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.14-0.00-0.051329%-0.073-0.025100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.828.515.822.50.625.6118.1
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +31.7%
HOU +8.5%
HOU +2.6%
HOU +6.3%
HOU +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHHOUNBANOHHOUNBA
this game18.217.115.580.5106.2106.4
season16.616.3105.9105.9
opponent15.215.6102.7106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH17.917.818.119.118.2
HOU16.415.718.817.917.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-232617.518.3-0.7918.317.01.33
Hilton Armstrong1212-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-222417.318.3-1.0118.416.91.50
Julian Wright1920-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-212219.117.91.1817.816.90.95
Devin Brown2929-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-191818.118.3-0.2016.017.8-1.82
James Posey3937-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-171419.716.82.8617.017.2-0.20
Sean Marks3635-0.12-0.380.260.08-7-13618.218.20.0516.917.3-0.49
Antonio Daniels3131-0.18-0.320.130.02-7-13619.717.32.4916.217.7-1.53
David West5453-0.29-0.21-0.070.07-12-8-417.519.5-1.9817.716.01.74
Chris Paul5150-0.32-0.18-0.130.07-13-7-617.319.7-2.4917.716.21.53
Melvin Ely3434-0.38-0.12-0.260.06-15-5-1018.518.00.4717.017.3-0.28
Rasual Butler4444-0.48-0.02-0.460.14-211-2217.618.9-1.2517.017.3-0.30
Peja Stojakovic5150-0.640.14-0.780.15-277-3418.118.3-0.1516.917.6-0.72

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry43430.410.090.32-0.00146816.917.4-0.4417.718.7-1.00
Shane Battier53530.400.100.30-0.131821617.716.01.6818.617.41.21
Yao Ming54540.380.120.26-0.202002016.418.6-2.1919.415.93.50
Luis Scola48500.290.210.07-0.10137617.816.21.6117.119.9-2.75
Metta World Peace48490.230.27-0.05-0.04911-217.616.51.1516.720.4-3.73
Brent Barry21200.210.29-0.090.00713-615.417.7-2.3718.918.01.00
Von Wafer42430.200.30-0.110.02614-816.717.6-0.9219.217.12.03
Charles Hayes18180.190.31-0.120.07416-1218.616.71.9016.318.7-2.46
Carl Landry35370.110.39-0.27-0.06614-817.117.10.0119.417.22.25
Aaron Brooks38390.090.41-0.32-0.09614-817.416.90.4418.717.71.00
Brian Cook540.000.50-0.500.09-323-2613.817.4-3.5611.218.6-7.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 95, PHX 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
DET 93, MIN 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
ORL 74, OKC 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%