NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	95		Excitement	3.6 [1054]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +9.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	81		Comeback	1.2 [873]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -17.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	15	50%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.06	21	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	5	62%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Hilton Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	53%	0.01	1	0.00	10	100%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	39%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	11	52%	0.07	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Marcus Vinicius	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	2	17%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	11	68%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	10	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	10	30%	-0.09	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.05
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	8	12%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	28.1	15.8	26.1	2.5	30.9	127.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +21.9%

NOH +15.5%

NOH +7.6%

NOH +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAC	NBA	NOH	LAC	NBA
this game	17.5	14.5	15.4	105.6	90.0	105.7
season	15.9	15.6		109.6	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.7		106.8	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.0	17.5	17.0	18.2	17.5
LAC	14.4	15.9	14.3	13.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	82	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.01	16	-2	18	17.2	20.1	-2.93	14.9	11.0	3.89
Bobby Jackson	43	44	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	0	14	17.4	17.5	-0.03	13.4	15.6	-2.22
Tyson Chandler	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.06	15	-1	16	17.3	18.2	-0.96	15.0	12.9	2.07
Chris Paul	71	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	2	10	17.7	16.7	0.98	14.6	14.5	0.05
Peja Stojakovic	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.05	10	4	6	17.2	18.0	-0.83	15.2	13.1	2.09
Morris Peterson	66	62	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	12	-10	17.2	18.0	-0.80	15.3	12.8	2.55
Marcus Vinicius	30	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	13	-12	18.4	17.0	1.47	12.4	15.7	-3.29
Hilton Armstrong	23	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	14	-14	18.4	17.1	1.26	13.2	15.0	-1.84

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	56	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.13	3	-17	20	13.9	15.5	-1.58	17.8	16.9	0.97
Al Thornton	53	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-16	18	13.6	15.9	-2.38	17.8	16.9	0.91
Richie Frahm	17	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-12	10	14.1	14.7	-0.60	17.7	17.4	0.33
Brevin Knight	53	54	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.10	0	-14	14	13.5	16.0	-2.43	17.6	17.2	0.34
Quinton Ross	37	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	0	-14	16.0	13.5	2.43	16.8	17.9	-1.05
Sam Cassell	37	36	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	0	-14	16.0	13.5	2.43	17.2	17.6	-0.34
Corey Maggette	73	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-2	-10	14.7	14.1	0.60	17.4	17.7	-0.33
Chris Kaman	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-4	-6	14.2	18.8	-4.60	17.7	14.0	3.66
Josh Powell	40	39	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.08	-23	9	-32	16.0	13.4	2.62	16.6	18.1	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 103, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
GSW 105, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%
BOS 112, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.52,0.36,0.29,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%