NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	5.3 [744]		MVP	Shaun Livingston (GSW): +7.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.4 [788]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -18.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	20	50%	0.08	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.03
Festus Ezeli	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	19	54%	0.10	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	13	53%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.02	8	71%	0.09	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Mike Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	15	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.03
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	38%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.08	-0.04	33	43%	-0.00	6	-0.19	8	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.4	39.5	15.5	33.4	3.6	45.5	167.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.1%

CLE -6.2%

CLE -20.4%

GSW +31.0%

GSW +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	13.4	15.3	15.1	104.0	97.0	104.2
season	13.6	15.9		109.2	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.1	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.4	12.8	14.2	12.5	13.4
CLE	17.6	14.8	16.4	12.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	75	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-6	20	13.6	12.7	0.91	15.6	14.3	1.23
Stephen Curry	91	89	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-6	20	13.2	15.3	-2.10	15.3	15.2	0.09
Draymond Green	87	85	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-3	14	13.6	12.1	1.47	15.1	16.1	-0.95
Shaun Livingston	72	70	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	5	-2	12.4	15.9	-3.54	14.8	16.3	-1.53
Festus Ezeli	21	22	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	3	2	13.2	13.4	-0.21	17.1	14.7	2.41
Klay Thompson	46	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	6	-4	15.7	11.5	4.24	16.6	14.0	2.67
Harrison Barnes	78	75	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	10	-12	13.2	14.2	-1.05	14.7	16.9	-2.21
David Lee	4	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	6	-4	10.0	13.5	-3.55	12.7	15.4	-2.61
Leandro Barbosa	31	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	17	-26	13.0	13.6	-0.63	14.2	15.8	-1.65

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	8.0	15.3	-7.33	2.0	13.5	-11.52
Joe Harris	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	8.0	15.3	-7.33	2.0	13.5	-11.52
James Jones	60	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-12	16	14.7	16.1	-1.36	12.3	14.9	-2.61
Matthew Dellavedova	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	14.6	16.1	-1.56	12.6	14.5	-1.86
J.R. Smith	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	15.2	15.5	-0.35	12.6	15.7	-3.19
Timofey Mozgov	63	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	16.3	13.6	2.69	15.1	10.6	4.57
LeBron James	97	98	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.33	-3	-5	2	15.2	17.0	-1.79	13.7	4.7	9.01
Iman Shumpert	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	0	-8	15.7	14.1	1.61	14.9	9.8	5.13
Tristan Thompson	79	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.12	-15	7	-22	15.3	15.2	0.09	12.8	15.7	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 95, LAC 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DAL 92, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
DAL 103, MIN 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%