inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 112 Excitement4.3 [977] MVPAl Horford (BOS): +11.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 90 Comeback1.2 [300] LVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -18.6%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.040.021659%0.1200.00250%-0.01
Jaylen Brown0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.031468%0.101-0.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.000.01675%0.0600.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02861%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Gordon Hayward0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.02872%0.072-0.042100%0.01
Kyrie Irving0.030,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.022162%0.114-0.0800%0.00
Daniel Theis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.012100%0.0110.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.011100%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Brad Wanamaker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Robert Williams III0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Guerschon Yabusele0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Semi Ojeleye-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.010.01972%0.1000.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.02-0.00-0.04850%0.0500.0020%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.021259%0.072-0.053100%0.02
Tony Snell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Frazier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
D.J. Wilson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.03530%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.02943%-0.0200.003100%0.01
Eric Bledsoe0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01537%-0.021-0.02667%-0.00
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.11-0.01-0.051025%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Sterling Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02721%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.06-0.040.092142%-0.142-0.041050%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.727.314.525.43.328.3126.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +55.6%
MIL -4.5%
MIL -8.4%
BOS +6.3%
BOS +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game14.214.714.3113.190.0109.3
season13.913.5109.9112.4
opponent14.314.7104.0106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS12.816.112.316.014.2
MIL14.914.616.512.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Morris62620.470.030.44-0.061841413.714.7-0.9716.012.23.81
Jayson Tatum64630.420.080.33-0.051661014.513.41.1714.614.40.24
Kyrie Irving67690.350.150.19-0.242021813.714.9-1.1515.512.43.13
Jaylen Brown75770.320.180.13-0.151661014.413.31.0514.115.9-1.80
Gordon Hayward62610.260.240.03-0.061111014.413.60.8114.215.0-0.80
Al Horford66670.220.28-0.05-0.01814-614.114.10.0314.614.40.16
Aron Baynes18190.200.30-0.10-0.121111014.714.00.7514.314.6-0.35
Terry Rozier40410.160.34-0.18-0.22139414.114.1-0.0613.815.1-1.33
Daniel Theis13120.080.42-0.34-0.04418-1411.714.5-2.7815.014.50.52
Semi Ojeleye17180.030.47-0.450.06-123-2414.814.00.7913.214.8-1.61
Brad Wanamaker660.000.50-0.500.06-224-2613.714.1-0.4712.214.7-2.53
Robert Williams III440.000.50-0.500.06-224-2613.514.1-0.646.514.9-8.38
Guerschon Yabusele660.000.50-0.500.06-224-2613.714.1-0.4712.214.7-2.53

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Snell770.00-0.500.500.000-222213.014.7-1.6612.914.2-1.35
Tim Frazier770.00-0.500.500.000-222213.014.7-1.6612.914.2-1.35
D.J. Wilson770.00-0.500.500.000-222213.014.7-1.6612.914.2-1.35
Nikola Mirotic4341-0.01-0.490.480.23-8-14615.314.01.2814.314.00.35
Brook Lopez5656-0.02-0.480.45-0.082-242614.115.1-0.9414.114.1-0.05
George Hill5048-0.11-0.390.290.25-12-10-214.914.20.7414.313.90.39
Ersan Ilyasova3638-0.15-0.350.190.02-6-161016.113.72.4813.414.5-1.11
Khris Middleton7171-0.28-0.22-0.050.05-11-11014.614.30.3014.513.01.51
Eric Bledsoe5655-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.04-12-10-213.316.0-2.7114.114.2-0.08
Pat Connaughton4849-0.40-0.10-0.300.22-21-1-2015.114.01.1114.913.31.63
Sterling Brown4948-0.530.03-0.56-0.00-18-4-1414.914.20.6113.215.0-1.81
Giannis Antetokounmpo7573-0.610.11-0.710.10-242-2614.115.8-1.7514.313.70.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.52,0.36,0.29,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 106, POR 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
OKC 103, DEN 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.0%
DAL 92, NYK 770.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%