NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Excitement	3.9 [1052]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +15.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	1.5 [1098]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -19.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.02	18	69%	0.19	3	-0.04	12	92%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	7	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.09	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Orton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.09	12	65%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	65%	0.07	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	19	45%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	14	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	0.05	14	31%	-0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.0	14.8	25.7	2.0	31.0	127.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +47.8%

OKC +5.2%

POR -4.7%

OKC +1.8%

POR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.4	115.2	97.8	104.1
season	14.8	15.8		109.3	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.6	15.4	14.3	17.4	15.4
POR	16.0	14.6	19.3	13.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	59	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.25	26	-10	36	14.6	17.0	-2.39	16.5	14.7	1.80
Kevin Durant	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.18	21	-5	26	14.9	16.3	-1.41	16.0	15.6	0.40
Hasheem Thabeet	35	34	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	7	2	15.7	15.3	0.45	16.5	15.5	1.05
Nick Collison	46	47	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	1	14	15.5	15.4	0.09	15.9	15.8	0.09
Thabo Sefolosha	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	6	4	14.5	16.2	-1.70	16.8	15.0	1.77
Serge Ibaka	49	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	9	-2	14.4	16.6	-2.24	16.4	15.2	1.25
Ronnie Brewer	47	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	16	-16	16.5	14.3	2.24	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Daniel Orton	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	16	-16	16.5	15.0	1.53	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Reggie Jackson	54	53	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	15	-14	16.0	14.7	1.28	14.9	17.2	-2.27
Derek Fisher	40	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.22	-9	25	-34	16.7	14.5	2.19	14.1	17.2	-3.18

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	29	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-18	20	15.0	16.3	-1.27	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Sasha Pavlovic	42	43	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-16	16	15.7	16.0	-0.29	15.5	15.4	0.10
Nolan Smith	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	15.7	15.9	-0.21	18.0	15.4	2.62
Luke Babbitt	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-20	24	13.9	16.5	-2.67	17.4	14.8	2.67
Meyers Leonard	36	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-18	20	15.1	16.4	-1.25	16.9	14.5	2.39
Will Barton	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-10	4	15.5	17.5	-2.03	15.5	15.3	0.20
Eric Maynor	49	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-3	-10	15.8	15.9	-0.07	16.2	14.5	1.69
Victor Claver	52	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-5	-6	16.3	15.3	1.01	14.4	16.7	-2.25
Damian Lillard	72	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-4	-8	15.6	16.8	-1.19	15.3	16.0	-0.79
JJ Hickson	27	26	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.08	-20	4	-24	17.8	15.1	2.75	13.6	16.2	-2.59
LaMarcus Aldridge	53	54	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	0.14	-27	11	-38	17.4	13.8	3.56	14.9	16.3	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.52,0.36,0.29,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
CLE 105, NOH 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%
POR 121, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.5,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%