inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 99 Excitement4.7 [861] MVPJason Terry (DAL): +15.5%
Dallas Mavericks 121 Comeback1.0 [1085] LVPBaron Davis (GSW): -6.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andris Biedrins0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.030.00683%0.1100.0000%0.00
Al Harrington0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.14-0.010.041275%0.131-0.03475%0.01
Mickael Pietrus0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.02-0.02750%0.0410.002100%0.00
Kelenna Azubuike0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00457%0.0300.00650%-0.01
Monta Ellis0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001052%0.051-0.02560%-0.02
DJ Mbenga0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.032149%0.064-0.07989%0.02
Baron Davis-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.150.02-0.061429%-0.013-0.06667%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.050.08-0.02760%0.1600.001100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.170.020.061672%0.172-0.048100%0.03
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.00593%0.132-0.03475%-0.00
Devin Harris0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.08-0.010.001063%0.112-0.03786%0.01
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.01757%0.0700.00786%0.04
Josh Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.00-0.001949%0.0500.001100%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.021162%0.032-0.03450%-0.02
DeSagana Diop00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trenton Hassell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.04367%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.81.830.516.728.52.331.4136.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +15.2%
DAL +16.0%
DAL +16.5%
GSW -1.8%
DAL +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game14.716.215.4107.6128.7105.7
season13.516.1109.8108.9
opponent15.415.1105.0107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.014.115.315.614.7
DAL14.318.616.016.416.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marco Belinelli780.00-0.500.500.09-3-191613.614.8-1.2617.616.11.54
Patrick O'Bryant230.00-0.500.50-0.031-232411.514.8-3.3114.716.3-1.60
Brandan Wright780.00-0.500.500.09-3-191613.614.8-1.2617.616.11.54
DJ Mbenga68-0.03-0.470.430.05-3-191614.514.8-0.2614.416.4-2.01
Kelenna Azubuike2828-0.05-0.450.400.10-5-171214.314.9-0.6516.016.3-0.35
Andris Biedrins4846-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-201815.513.91.6317.215.21.97
Mickael Pietrus4749-0.12-0.380.270.18-10-12214.215.3-1.1616.216.2-0.06
Matt Barnes4042-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-14-8-615.714.01.6615.516.8-1.33
Al Harrington6265-0.39-0.11-0.290.07-16-6-1014.016.3-2.3716.615.31.31
Monta Ellis6665-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.04-13-9-415.014.10.8715.817.1-1.34
Stephen Jackson7776-0.510.01-0.530.13-220-2215.013.41.6016.116.8-0.70
Baron Davis7072-0.570.07-0.650.01-20-2-1814.714.70.0216.216.20.04

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki74750.61-0.110.72-0.2128-63416.116.4-0.3015.013.51.48
Josh Howard81790.500.000.50-0.031841416.315.70.6014.516.4-1.92
Jerry Stackhouse58550.470.030.43-0.2123-12416.715.51.2015.114.11.01
Jason Terry53510.370.130.24-0.161841416.715.61.0315.314.01.29
Brandon Bass44430.320.180.15-0.231931615.616.7-1.0815.314.21.10
Erick Dampier53520.160.34-0.180.10220-1816.715.61.0714.015.6-1.61
Eddie Jones31320.090.41-0.310.03220-1815.016.8-1.8614.015.1-1.09
Devin Harris47490.070.43-0.36-0.02319-1615.716.8-1.1114.714.7-0.01
DeSagana Diop650.000.50-0.50-0.03121-2016.816.20.6614.014.8-0.78
Trenton Hassell650.000.50-0.50-0.03121-2016.816.20.6614.014.8-0.78
Devean George1714-0.090.59-0.690.05-527-3216.516.10.3914.114.9-0.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 87, GSW 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.4%
LAL 110, PHX 1190.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.94,1,0.99,0.99,0.9,0.98,0.99,194.3%
POR 94, ORL 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%