NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	5.8 [682]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +21.5%
Phoenix Suns	119		Comeback	1.0 [1257]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -17.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.01	0.06	21	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Brian Cook	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	86%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	44%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Shammond Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	33	47%	0.04	6	-0.15	7	86%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.02	12	64%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.02	21	58%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	16	51%	0.14	2	-0.05	21	71%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	15	45%	0.00	7	-0.18	8	87%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.7	33.1	19.8	30.2	3.6	40.3	157.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +29.8%

PHX +10.5%

PHX +3.3%

PHX +6.0%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.7	14.4	15.4	107.8	115.5	104.5
season	15.3	13.8		106.3	112.2
opponent	16.0	14.9		105.0	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.7	13.8	12.0	13.3	13.7
PHX	13.1	13.9	13.2	18.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	55	56	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-17	25	13.1	14.3	-1.23	14.5	14.3	0.26
Andrew Bynum	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-10	11	15.3	13.6	1.73	12.7	14.5	-1.83
Sasha Vujacic	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-12	15	11.1	14.0	-2.86	18.6	14.0	4.53
Luke Walton	53	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-9	9	13.6	13.8	-0.19	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Kwame Brown	46	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-6	3	13.4	13.9	-0.48	13.4	15.3	-1.95
Brian Cook	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-8	7	13.7	13.7	0.07	18.0	13.8	4.19
Smush Parker	16	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-3	-3	14.1	13.6	0.53	13.2	14.7	-1.42
Kobe Bryant	98	99	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-8	7	13.5	19.0	-5.54	14.5	11.5	3.04
Lamar Odom	81	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	1	-11	13.6	13.9	-0.23	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Maurice Evans	41	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	0	-9	14.2	13.3	0.91	13.3	15.1	-1.87
Ronny Turiaf	53	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-1	-7	13.9	13.4	0.48	15.4	13.4	2.02
Shammond Williams	35	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	10	-29	15.0	13.0	1.97	14.5	14.4	0.08

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	82	82	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.01	22	-13	35	14.5	14.0	0.46	13.6	14.0	-0.46
Raja Bell	88	87	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	2	5	14.3	15.1	-0.76	13.7	13.5	0.17
Leandro Barbosa	69	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	6	-3	14.7	13.9	0.71	13.7	13.5	0.21
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	77	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	4	1	14.9	12.9	2.05	13.6	14.0	-0.43
Steve Nash	82	82	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.16	3	6	-3	14.2	15.1	-0.85	13.3	15.1	-1.83
Kurt Thomas	25	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	4	1	13.2	14.8	-1.66	14.4	13.5	0.92
James Jones	35	34	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	4	1	14.2	14.5	-0.29	14.0	13.5	0.53
Boris Diaw	57	55	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.28	-5	14	-19	14.4	14.5	-0.07	13.9	13.5	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.94,1,0.99,0.99,0.9,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, LAL 104	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 85, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 73, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	94.6%