NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	9.0 [109]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +23.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	2.6 [333]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -13.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.24,0.23	-0.09	0.31	-0.01	14	49%	0.36	6	-0.13	7	29%	-0.10
Vince Carter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,0.14	0.04	0.12	0.01	20	55%	0.24	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.05
Bostjan Nachbar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Billy Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Boone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.05
Darrell Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0.05	0	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.07	-0.02	12	77%	0.32	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.12	0.01	9	55%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.04	0.06	23	60%	0.18	2	-0.17	12	83%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.11	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	29.9	15.8	28.2	2.5	41.5	143.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +58.1%

MIL -21.5%

NJN +22.0%

MIL -9.9%

NJN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.4	103.2	103.3	105.7
season	15.4	15.8		101.8	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		110.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.9	14.6	14.7	15.0	14.8
MIL	15.1	17.5	16.0	16.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	80	78	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-7	16	14.5	16.1	-1.52	16.0	17.3	-1.27
Sean Williams	68	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-4	10	14.7	15.1	-0.42	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Richard Jefferson	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	1	0	14.6	15.4	-0.78	16.0	17.1	-1.03
Jason Kidd	83	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	3	-4	14.8	14.8	-0.05	16.1	16.9	-0.78
Bostjan Nachbar	45	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	5	-8	15.4	14.2	1.20	16.3	16.1	0.18
Malik Allen	44	42	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.36	1	1	0	16.1	13.6	2.56	17.6	15.0	2.60
Darrell Armstrong	3	3	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	1	0	1.0	15.2	-14.23	4.3	16.6	-12.27
Marcus Williams	11	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	-1	4	14.8	14.8	0.05	16.9	16.1	0.78
Billy Thomas	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	0	2	21.0	14.7	6.29	5.0	16.3	-11.33
Jamaal Magloire	21	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	1	0	15.4	14.6	0.84	17.1	15.9	1.21
Josh Boone	51	50	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	8	-14	14.2	15.5	-1.27	16.0	16.5	-0.45

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	63	64	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.10	8	-10	18	16.1	16.4	-0.30	15.4	13.5	1.88
Bobby Simmons	43	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-2	2	15.2	17.1	-1.96	14.0	15.5	-1.52
Charlie Villanueva	25	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	3	-8	18.0	15.6	2.41	15.3	14.6	0.75
Jake Voskuhl	19	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	4	-10	18.1	15.7	2.33	15.5	14.6	0.87
Andrew Bogut	73	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-6	10	15.7	18.1	-2.33	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Yi Jianlian	67	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-5	8	15.6	18.0	-2.41	14.6	15.3	-0.75
Michael Redd	86	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	16.4	14.0	2.36	14.7	15.2	-0.42
Charlie Bell	40	39	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.46	-3	1	-4	16.9	15.6	1.32	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Royal Ivey	44	45	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	6	-14	16.4	16.0	0.34	14.8	14.7	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.66,0.57,0.58,0	92.3%
PHI 97, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.41,0	92.1%
IND 95, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.45,0.42,0	91.7%