NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	8.9 [125]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +20.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	2.7 [448]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -26.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.06,0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.01	17	64%	0.27	3	-0.09	10	100%	0.17
Derrick McKey	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.01	6	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	9	78%	0.27	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.14	0.01	6	50%	-0.18	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.05
Rik Smits	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.06	-0.19	0.01	15	47%	-0.23	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.11

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	-0.00	7	71%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	0.01	11	74%	0.27	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	9	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	25%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.06	-0.16	0.02	20	60%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	17	31%	-0.21	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.8	26.0	14.5	23.4	1.7	35.1	123.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +16.8%

IND +49.9%

IND +28.0%

CLE -39.3%

CLE -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.2	100.0	96.8	101.7
season	15.4	14.1		106.5	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.3	15.6	16.5	16.4	15.9
CLE	11.9	15.7	14.1	16.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	33	34	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.38	8	-5	13	15.8	16.0	-0.17	16.8	13.0	3.74
Derrick McKey	54	54	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	-1	5	15.5	16.4	-0.90	15.1	13.5	1.59
Reggie Miller	81	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.41	4	-1	5	16.1	14.8	1.34	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Mark Jackson	72	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	4	-5	16.1	15.3	0.76	13.5	17.3	-3.85
Dale Davis	71	70	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	4	-5	16.3	14.9	1.35	13.9	15.7	-1.81
Travis Best	38	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	0	3	14.7	16.7	-1.98	16.5	13.1	3.39
Austin Croshere	48	49	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	-3	9	15.9	16.0	-0.06	14.4	14.3	0.08
Jonathan Bender	17	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	6	-9	15.8	15.9	-0.13	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Rik Smits	61	61	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	8	-13	16.2	15.4	0.89	13.0	16.8	-3.74

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	48	48	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.08	2	-5	7	14.6	14.2	0.39	16.5	15.3	1.16
Earl Boykins	23	25	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.08	0	-3	3	16.7	13.7	3.04	16.4	15.8	0.59
Andrew DeClercq	38	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-3	3	14.0	14.6	-0.65	15.0	16.6	-1.61
Bob Sura	33	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	1	-5	15.2	13.9	1.31	16.2	15.8	0.39
Lamond Murray	87	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.43	1	-4	5	13.9	19.9	-5.99	16.0	15.4	0.53
Danny Ferry	38	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	1	-5	15.8	13.5	2.29	15.7	16.1	-0.35
Wesley Person	65	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.52	1	-4	5	13.5	16.3	-2.79	15.6	16.5	-0.87
Andre Miller	69	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	0	-3	14.0	15.3	-1.26	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Shawn Kemp	74	72	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.55	-8	5	-13	14.4	14.5	-0.17	16.1	15.3	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, ATL 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	92.1%
PHI 109, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.57,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.05,0	91.9%
NJN 97, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	91.7%