NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	9.6 [63]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +90.0%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	18.8 [43]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -59.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.90	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.9	-0.06	0.95	-0.01	13	53%	1.00	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
John Crotty	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Gary Trent	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	64%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	68%	0.20	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.33	-0.06	-0.27	0.00	11	50%	-0.21	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.59	0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.43,-0.59	-0.20	-0.40	-0.01	18	27%	-0.44	1	-0.16	8	75%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	75%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Respert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	16	56%	0.08	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.09
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	8	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.12,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.21	-0.21	0.00	-0.19	0.02	23	57%	0.03	4	-0.24	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	33.8	14.8	26.5	2.5	27.5	131.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.3%

POR +4.6%

POR +15.3%

TOR -11.2%

POR +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.6	97.8	95.7	102.5
season	15.9	15.5		101.9	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.4		108.2	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.5	15.7	16.3	17.2	15.6
TOR	14.2	14.3	15.0	17.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Crotty	30	31	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.70	3	-2	5	17.4	14.7	2.70	15.8	14.9	0.90
Arvydas Sabonis	63	62	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.45	6	-5	11	14.4	18.0	-3.64	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Rasheed Wallace	81	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.43	6	-5	11	15.7	14.5	1.23	15.1	16.3	-1.26
Kenny Anderson	66	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.54	0	1	-1	14.5	18.1	-3.53	15.1	15.6	-0.56
Brian Grant	63	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.54	-1	2	-3	15.3	16.1	-0.78	15.8	14.1	1.78
Gary Trent	43	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	0	1	17.0	14.3	2.70	15.9	14.7	1.21
Kelvin Cato	13	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	5	-9	15.2	15.6	-0.48	14.1	15.4	-1.37
Alvin Williams	40	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.29	5	-4	9	16.2	15.1	1.19	16.1	14.5	1.60
Jermaine O'Neal	15	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.06	-3	4	-7	17.4	15.2	2.18	14.2	15.4	-1.26
Stacey Augmon	51	49	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	9	-17	15.1	16.1	-0.96	14.1	16.5	-2.41

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zan Tabak	26	23	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-2	3	16.0	14.9	1.06	15.1	15.7	-0.64
Ed Stokes	12	13	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	0	-1	13.3	15.5	-2.18	19.1	15.0	4.08
Shawn Respert	20	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	0	-1	14.6	15.4	-0.81	18.7	14.8	3.91
Damon Stoudamire	88	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.48	2	-3	5	15.4	12.7	2.74	15.2	20.3	-5.10
Doug Christie	81	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	0	-1	15.1	16.3	-1.25	15.2	18.6	-3.48
John Wallace	92	91	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-2	3	15.3	14.0	1.26	15.6	15.0	0.58
Reggie Slater	73	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.51	1	-2	3	15.5	14.1	1.41	15.3	16.7	-1.36
Popeye Jones	78	76	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.45	-7	6	-13	15.1	15.9	-0.85	15.5	16.1	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.66,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 102, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.58,0	92.6%
NJN 97, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	92.3%
SAC 96, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.78,0.55,0.58,0	91.9%