NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	88		Excitement	7.3 [325]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +35.2%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	1.1 [1173]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -19.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.01	16	58%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Brevin Knight	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Richie Frahm	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	14	45%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	17	30%	-0.13	0	0.00	9	78%	0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.13	0.02	22	44%	-0.16	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.35	0.35	0.17	0.19	0.01	15	74%	0.39	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.00	13	67%	0.28	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.10	0.02	15	60%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	9	30%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	31.3	15.4	26.6	2.7	38.1	141.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +95.5%

LAC -15.6%

LAC -18.7%

PHX +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	15.4	91.7	101.1	105.7
season	15.6	13.8		99.5	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.5	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	16.7	14.8	14.7	15.5
PHX	12.8	16.0	15.9	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richie Frahm	12	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-6	6	17.2	15.3	1.87	13.3	15.1	-1.77
Cuttino Mobley	76	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.36	7	-13	20	14.9	18.0	-3.18	15.5	12.9	2.62
Quinton Ross	63	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-4	2	16.0	14.6	1.41	16.0	12.9	3.10
Corey Maggette	76	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-7	8	15.0	17.7	-2.74	14.9	15.0	-0.15
Josh Powell	18	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	1	-8	16.4	15.3	1.06	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Sam Cassell	73	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-8	10	16.0	14.0	1.96	15.7	12.5	3.13
Chris Kaman	85	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-2	-2	15.7	14.4	1.32	15.0	14.1	0.94
Brevin Knight	37	35	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	6	-18	15.1	15.8	-0.78	13.2	16.0	-2.78
Al Thornton	40	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.08	-15	9	-24	15.5	15.6	-0.05	12.9	16.6	-3.79

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	59	60	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.32	13	-7	20	15.0	14.8	0.27	16.0	14.7	1.34
Grant Hill	68	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-2	10	15.5	13.4	2.05	15.4	15.9	-0.56
Leandro Barbosa	51	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-10	26	13.7	16.5	-2.77	15.7	15.3	0.41
Amar'e Stoudemire	62	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	4	-2	16.2	12.4	3.87	15.5	15.5	0.02
Brian Skinner	35	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	1	4	13.5	15.8	-2.37	16.2	15.1	1.05
Boris Diaw	56	60	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	8	-10	13.8	16.7	-2.89	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Shawn Marion	66	69	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	11	-16	15.5	13.7	1.79	15.3	16.2	-0.96
Steve Nash	68	70	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	13	-20	15.3	14.0	1.22	15.2	16.5	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.84,1	93.2%
ATL 83, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.6,0.8,0.96,0.96,0.96,1	92.2%
CLE 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,1	92.1%