NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	83		Excitement	6.2 [565]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +18.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	1.4 [854]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -13.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	18	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	11	64%	0.08	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.05
Theo Ratliff	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	58%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.01	22	58%	0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.03	3	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	14	66%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	42%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	11	55%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	20%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.0	23.2	15.4	22.5	1.0	32.3	117.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.4%

ATL -0.1%

ATL -0.0%

POR +15.5%

POR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	13.4	19.7	15.7	95.4	103.4	100.5
season	15.3	17.1		98.2	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.0	13.1	11.6	15.0	13.4
POR	17.9	19.0	23.8	18.4	19.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	62	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-9	11	12.3	16.3	-4.05	19.9	19.1	0.81
Dion Glover	60	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.22	2	-9	11	12.4	15.7	-3.23	19.7	19.5	0.27
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-9	11	12.3	16.7	-4.37	20.6	17.0	3.63
Jacque Vaughn	29	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	1	-9	15.3	12.5	2.76	19.4	19.8	-0.32
Lee Nailon	24	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	0	-7	16.2	12.4	3.88	17.4	20.5	-3.03
Boris Diaw	21	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	1	-9	15.5	12.8	2.75	18.5	20.1	-1.62
Stephen Jackson	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-6	5	12.9	15.4	-2.55	20.4	17.2	3.14
Jason Terry	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	13.5	13.0	0.53	19.5	20.6	-1.08
Nazr Mohammed	36	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	4	-15	15.5	12.0	3.52	18.8	20.3	-1.52

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	75	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-5	17	19.6	20.0	-0.39	13.6	12.5	1.09
Jeff McInnis	61	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-1	9	19.7	19.6	0.07	13.3	13.7	-0.36
Bonzi Wells	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	-1	9	18.9	20.8	-1.85	14.7	11.4	3.32
Dale Davis	57	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	0	7	20.6	17.8	2.80	12.9	14.6	-1.67
Rasheed Wallace	72	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.17	4	3	1	19.8	19.1	0.64	12.7	16.7	-4.06
Tracy Murray	12	13	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	5	-3	19.7	19.7	0.10	18.4	12.6	5.82
Damon Stoudamire	53	53	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	5	-3	20.4	18.5	1.96	12.7	14.5	-1.79
Vladimir Stepania	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	9	-11	18.6	20.2	-1.56	14.6	12.9	1.73
Qyntel Woods	24	23	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	13	-19	18.2	20.2	-1.96	11.3	14.2	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.6,0.8,0.96,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.5%
MIA 68, CHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.8%
DEN 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%