inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 68 Excitement5.6 [665] MVPIke Austin (MIA): +9.9%
Chicago Bulls 75 Comeback1.2 [920] LVPTim Hardaway (MIA): -19.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ike Austin0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.100.07775%0.121-0.022100%0.02
Dan Majerle0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00844%0.0000.002100%0.01
John Crotty-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.000.0210%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.160,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.050.011533%-0.053-0.1100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.170,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.12-0.040.001344%-0.074-0.10667%-0.04
Willie Anderson-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.02-0.050.10533%-0.151-0.022100%0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.04-0.080.06831%-0.102-0.0800%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2-0.08-0.030.091639%-0.132-0.07683%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ron Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.05-0.000.02-0.04569%0.102-0.05650%0.01
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.010.00456%0.0300.001100%0.01
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00250%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Michael Jordan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.07-0.001550%0.022-0.031694%0.06
Randy Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Caffey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Dennis Rodman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01217%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Luc Longley0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.01850%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.0230%-0.062-0.0200%0.00
Scottie Pippen0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.020.012151%0.005-0.09367%0.01
Bison Dele0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.03-0.00312%-0.061-0.04250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game-104.32.529.315.728.11.640.012.9
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +16.0%
CHI +15.9%
CHI +0.6%
CHI +13.3%
CHI +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHINBAMIACHINBA
this game17.216.115.679.186.2104.4
season15.815.5103.1110.5
opponent16.116.399.898.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA19.514.315.719.417.2
CHI14.815.721.113.316.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
P.J. Brown19200.06-0.560.63-0.054-111516.617.3-0.7117.515.71.86
John Crotty99-0.04-0.460.43-0.01-1-6511.817.8-6.0413.316.4-3.10
Jamal Mashburn5355-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-6516.618.2-1.6216.615.31.22
Dan Majerle6464-0.24-0.260.01-0.240-7716.718.5-1.7715.817.0-1.20
Willie Anderson4950-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.14-4-3-116.618.0-1.4314.917.7-2.81
Alonzo Mourning7072-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.25-3-4117.416.11.3816.812.84.01
Ike Austin3938-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.12-114-1519.415.44.0215.316.7-1.42
Voshon Lenard5151-0.520.02-0.55-0.29-81-917.217.10.0716.515.51.00
Tim Hardaway7676-0.650.15-0.80-0.33-114-1517.812.65.1916.315.11.17

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ron Harper52520.60-0.100.700.1914-72116.315.80.5317.816.21.67
Luc Longley46450.58-0.080.650.1116-92517.314.82.5219.015.23.85
Scottie Pippen77760.53-0.030.560.269-21116.116.10.0217.415.71.68
Dennis Rodman55530.480.020.460.229-21115.816.6-0.7617.117.3-0.14
Michael Jordan77780.450.050.400.2761516.612.54.0817.316.40.89
Steve Kerr21210.070.43-0.360.0707-715.716.2-0.5313.518.4-4.85
Randy Brown12120.020.48-0.470.07-29-1114.716.3-1.5820.516.63.85
Jud Buechler28260.000.50-0.490.09-310-1315.416.5-1.0614.818.2-3.41
Toni Kukoc3332-0.030.53-0.550.06-310-1315.116.8-1.7016.917.3-0.40
Jason Caffey77-0.030.53-0.570.03-29-1116.316.10.1914.017.5-3.47
Bison Dele2728-0.170.67-0.840.09-916-2515.816.2-0.4417.017.3-0.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 107, HOU 1110.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.89,0.99,1,1,193.3%
PHX 129, MIA 1350.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,1,193.1%
ORL 115, UTA 1190.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,193.0%