NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	8.0 [240]		MVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): +22.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	4.3 [120]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -26.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	20	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
CJ Miles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Ronnie Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.11	-0.05	13	45%	-0.06	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	14	37%	-0.10	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.10	-0.16	0.00	19	37%	-0.12	2	-0.15	5	80%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.15	-0.00	10	62%	0.25	1	-0.02	14	64%	-0.10
Brandon Roy	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.14	0.01	21	59%	0.32	3	-0.12	7	100%	0.04
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	5	82%	0.20	1	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
Martell Webster	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	7	19%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.06	0.02	4	36%	-0.08	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.5	30.4	15.8	27.3	2.5	38.3	142.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +44.0%

POR +34.4%

UTA -20.9%

UTA -5.4%

UTA -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.4	95.8	103.1	105.7
season	15.5	16.7		111.2	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		106.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	15.0	16.0	15.1	15.5
POR	13.7	14.4	15.3	15.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	11	11	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.03	7	-15	22	12.8	15.8	-2.98	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Kyrylo Fesenko	10	10	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-9	10	16.9	15.3	1.62	8.9	15.4	-6.48
Jarron Collins	30	31	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.06	-1	-7	6	15.2	15.6	-0.32	15.5	14.3	1.15
Gordan Giricek	30	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-5	2	16.3	15.1	1.24	14.1	15.0	-0.97
Ronnie Price	12	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	17.9	15.1	2.82	15.6	14.6	1.05
Carlos Boozer	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-8	8	15.0	16.8	-1.81	15.0	14.0	1.00
Deron Williams	83	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-6	4	15.1	17.9	-2.82	14.6	15.6	-1.05
Paul Millsap	38	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	2	-12	16.7	14.6	2.14	15.3	14.3	1.05
Ronnie Brewer	65	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	15.1	16.3	-1.24	15.0	14.1	0.97
Andrei Kirilenko	86	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-2	-4	15.5	14.7	0.87	15.1	11.2	3.92
Matt Harpring	38	39	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	7	-22	15.4	15.5	-0.14	13.8	15.3	-1.54

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	55	54	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-7	22	14.2	15.4	-1.28	15.9	14.8	1.10
James Jones	59	58	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.33	13	-5	18	14.3	15.4	-1.05	15.5	15.4	0.03
Jarrett Jack	54	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	3	2	14.0	15.6	-1.53	15.6	15.2	0.43
Raef LaFrentz	22	20	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	0	8	14.3	14.8	-0.57	19.5	14.4	5.19
Brandon Roy	72	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	7	-6	15.2	13.2	1.94	14.4	18.8	-4.39
Sergio Rodriguez	24	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	1	6	13.2	15.2	-1.94	18.8	14.4	4.39
Joel Przybilla	69	69	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	7	-6	15.1	13.8	1.24	14.6	17.6	-2.98
Steve Blake	44	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.16	5	3	2	15.0	14.5	0.50	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Channing Frye	34	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	10	-12	15.7	14.2	1.54	15.2	15.6	-0.35
Martell Webster	47	47	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.02	-13	21	-34	15.3	14.1	1.24	14.9	16.0	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.95,1	92.0%
MIN 105, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	91.9%
MIA 96, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.29,0.45,0.61,0.46,0.76,0.91,1	91.7%