inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 81 Excitement4.9 [829] MVPJason Maxiell (DET): +6.5%
Detroit Pistons 91 Comeback1.1 [1165] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -19.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.010.03762%0.0300.001070%-0.02
Solomon Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelden Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.000.04360%-0.0200.00450%-0.03
Salim Stoudamire-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mario West-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01217%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Joe Johnson-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.04-0.012049%0.012-0.06771%-0.02
Acie Law-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.01-0.00729%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.030.000.03942%-0.031-0.026100%0.02
Anthony Johnson-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.011136%-0.062-0.0400%0.00
Josh Smith-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.14-0.050.021539%-0.105-0.106100%0.03

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00653%0.0600.00757%-0.03
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00657%0.0400.002100%0.01
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,00.00-0.040.03-0.021061%0.126-0.11875%-0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01636%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.010.051468%0.096-0.126100%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.01725%-0.0500.0020%-0.04
Richard Hamilton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.040.011847%-0.022-0.052100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.430.616.626.22.740.4142.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +49.6%
ATL -2.3%
DET +7.8%
ATL -4.5%
ATL -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDETNBAATLDETNBA
this game15.216.615.490.0100.0105.7
season15.416.8104.2108.8
opponent15.815.7101.3107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.517.413.314.915.2
DET15.817.718.015.116.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Solomon Jones33-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-11129.015.4-6.4312.716.7-4.07
Anthony Johnson5655-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-121414.815.9-1.0316.716.40.26
Lorenzen Wright5658-0.15-0.350.20-0.150-101014.216.8-2.5916.516.7-0.19
Joe Johnson7574-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-111214.817.1-2.2315.820.0-4.18
Shelden Williams1616-0.20-0.300.10-0.03-6-4-218.214.63.7017.216.50.78
Mario West1617-0.21-0.290.080.03-8-2-614.915.3-0.3315.416.9-1.47
Salim Stoudamire1616-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-4-218.814.44.3818.616.22.45
Josh Smith7475-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-8614.618.0-3.3916.118.7-2.60
Marvin Williams7273-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-2-8614.916.4-1.5416.915.41.45
Acie Law2728-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.08-133-1617.614.23.3517.416.31.14
Zaza Pachulia3940-0.530.03-0.56-0.03-177-2415.814.71.1217.515.91.64

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Maxiell52500.65-0.150.810.0421-113217.415.51.9616.913.13.75
Lindsey Hunter17190.350.150.200.0311-11218.216.22.0116.914.82.13
Tayshaun Prince71710.300.200.100.1364216.018.9-2.9414.517.7-3.13
Arron Afflalo19210.290.210.070.1164217.416.41.0318.014.43.64
Antonio McDyess74740.280.220.060.2519-816.118.9-2.8714.717.7-3.01
Richard Hamilton72690.210.29-0.070.1046-216.417.4-1.0314.418.0-3.64
Jarvis Hayes20190.200.30-0.100.0846-218.916.02.9417.714.53.13
Chauncey Billups74710.150.35-0.200.18-111-1216.218.2-2.0114.816.9-2.13
Rasheed Wallace53530.060.44-0.370.06010-1016.816.40.3614.715.9-1.16
Amir Johnson330.000.50-0.500.06-212-1412.716.7-4.079.015.4-6.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 93, CHI 1110.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%
MIL 99, ORL 1060.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1,0.98,194.6%
MIA 91, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.99,194.5%