NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	93		Excitement	4.7 [864]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (CHI): +6.3%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.2 [892]		LVP	Drew Gooden (MEM): -14.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	14	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	85%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.05
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cezary Trybanski	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	24%	-0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.01	23	62%	0.14	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.03	0.04	23	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	78%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	13	43%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	61%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.5	1.8	28.8	15.6	23.3	2.4	31.5	135.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +8.9%

CHI +5.7%

CHI +14.4%

CHI +19.0%

CHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	15.5	96.9	118.1	101.6
season	15.3	15.0		101.8	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.4	16.0	15.4	15.4	15.8
CHI	13.6	14.0	13.9	16.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	40	39	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-24	30	16.2	15.5	0.69	14.5	14.5	0.01
Pau Gasol	52	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-15	12	16.3	15.2	1.14	14.8	14.1	0.70
Earl Watson	26	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-14	10	14.9	16.2	-1.23	14.5	14.5	0.06
Wesley Person	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-15	12	15.9	15.8	0.15	15.1	14.1	0.97
Cezary Trybanski	44	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-10	2	14.2	17.2	-2.99	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Gordan Giricek	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-3	-12	15.8	15.9	-0.15	14.1	15.1	-0.97
Shane Battier	52	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	-4	-10	15.5	16.2	-0.75	15.1	13.8	1.34
Jason Williams	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.05	-14	-4	-10	16.2	14.9	1.23	14.5	14.5	-0.06
Drew Gooden	60	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	-4	-10	16.6	14.6	2.03	13.7	16.0	-2.34
Lorenzen Wright	40	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.13	-21	3	-24	15.8	15.8	0.00	14.9	14.2	0.70

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	2	14	14.5	14.3	0.27	15.5	16.9	-1.46
Lonny Baxter	53	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	4	10	14.2	14.9	-0.71	14.9	16.9	-1.92
Jay Williams	68	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	2	14	13.6	16.7	-3.01	16.0	15.5	0.50
Jalen Rose	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	4	10	13.6	16.7	-3.01	16.1	15.0	1.11
Fred Hoiberg	42	42	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	11	-4	13.7	15.1	-1.38	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Trenton Hassell	52	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	7	4	15.1	13.7	1.38	16.2	15.4	0.83
Eddie Robinson	26	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	14	-10	16.7	13.6	3.01	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Jamal Crawford	27	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	16	-14	16.4	13.7	2.76	15.0	16.1	-1.14
Tyson Chandler	30	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	14	-10	15.1	14.2	0.86	17.2	15.1	2.07
Eddy Curry	32	34	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	16	-14	14.4	14.5	-0.11	17.0	15.2	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.99,1	95.0%
CHI 78, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
ATL 81, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%