inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 102 Excitement4.4 [907] MVPMarquis Daniels (IND): +17.1%
Indiana Pacers 117 Comeback4.6 [341] LVPAndres Nocioni (CHI): -8.3%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.02673%0.0600.003100%0.02
Tyrus Thomas0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.020.011453%0.0200.002100%0.01
Joakim Noah0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01560%0.0210.005100%0.01
Aaron Gray0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01337%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Adrian Griffin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.05383%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.011543%0.001-0.035100%0.03
Chris Duhon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.04350%0.004-0.042100%0.01
Ben Wallace-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.032139%-0.031-0.034100%0.02
Andres Nocioni-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.020.04958%0.014-0.091100%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.150.02-0.001082%0.1700.00250%-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.03-0.031167%0.172-0.04580%0.01
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.200.010.101381%0.1100.001100%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.03-0.021460%0.133-0.052100%0.01
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.00977%0.134-0.064100%0.02
Travis Diener0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Courtney Sims0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Owens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.00467%0.042-0.054100%0.02
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01362%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00950%0.012-0.0300%0.00
David Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game475.32.533.215.827.32.727.3584.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +66.5%
IND +0.1%
CHI -5.6%
CHI -8.6%
CHI -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIINDNBACHIINDNBA
this game15.314.715.4106.2121.9105.7
season15.013.8102.2104.5
opponent15.215.5105.6105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI15.816.016.513.015.3
IND13.612.215.517.514.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrus Thomas19190.27-0.771.04-0.1113-284115.715.30.4212.715.1-2.46
Adrian Griffin89-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-182113.615.5-1.8821.214.07.25
Thabo Sefolosha1617-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-182113.215.8-2.5117.913.93.99
Aaron Gray1616-0.05-0.450.39-0.02-1-141314.415.5-1.0919.113.85.29
Joakim Noah2727-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-12913.716.0-2.3317.013.83.21
Joe Smith4342-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-131115.815.00.8514.914.40.48
Kirk Hinrich5857-0.23-0.270.030.00-8-7-115.814.61.1814.315.2-0.97
Chris Duhon5152-0.24-0.260.020.02-9-6-314.516.3-1.8614.614.7-0.13
Andres Nocioni4443-0.41-0.09-0.330.11-183-2114.416.2-1.7714.115.1-1.06
Ben Wallace5152-0.47-0.03-0.430.00-161-1717.013.53.4512.916.7-3.74
Ben Gordon7978-0.530.03-0.56-0.00-183-2115.614.41.2014.117.0-2.88
Luol Deng6868-0.540.04-0.580.02-194-2315.913.92.0514.116.1-2.00

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kareem Rush60620.64-0.140.77-0.0724-93314.215.4-1.2615.215.6-0.42
Jamaal Tinsley85830.53-0.030.56-0.0921-62714.515.5-1.0015.613.62.00
Jermaine O'Neal73740.500.000.49-0.2726-113714.116.3-2.2215.614.60.98
Marquis Daniels67680.440.060.380.031411314.714.60.1515.614.80.74
Shawne Williams29310.190.31-0.130.07411-712.815.4-2.6216.814.72.11
Mike Dunleavy59570.080.42-0.34-0.01312-915.014.10.8514.117.1-3.01
Danny Granger47470.070.43-0.350.10-116-1715.613.81.8415.215.5-0.30
Troy Murphy31300.050.45-0.40-0.04312-913.715.1-1.4015.615.20.42
David Harrison20190.000.50-0.490.21-722-2915.214.50.7514.615.5-0.95
Travis Diener330.000.50-0.500.12-419-2323.714.49.3014.715.4-0.70
Courtney Sims330.000.50-0.500.12-419-2323.714.49.3014.715.4-0.70
Andre Owens330.000.50-0.500.12-419-2323.714.49.3014.715.4-0.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 97, BOS 1170.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%
WAS 87, IND 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.1%
BOS 80, DEN 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,193.9%