NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	6.1 [565]		MVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): +23.8%
Sacramento Kings	87		Comeback	4.0 [152]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -17.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.08	-0.01	12	76%	0.26	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	7	86%	0.17	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	13	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Ruben Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	62%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	13	45%	0.00	4	-0.12	14	71%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	4	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	4	70%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Darryl Watkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	22	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.06	0.03	13	37%	-0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	3.4	29.5	15.4	28.6	2.5	35.2	135.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +37.0%

LAC +0.1%

LAC +17.5%

SAC -5.0%

LAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.4	102.1	92.6	105.7
season	15.6	14.9		99.5	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.0	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	14.8	15.0	17.6	15.5
SAC	15.2	14.5	15.7	14.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	82	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-2	14	15.5	15.8	-0.39	14.9	15.2	-0.22
Cuttino Mobley	41	40	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	2	6	17.0	14.3	2.72	14.6	15.2	-0.55
Ruben Patterson	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	4	2	15.0	16.0	-1.04	14.6	15.3	-0.79
Corey Maggette	70	71	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	1	8	15.6	15.3	0.25	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Brevin Knight	73	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	3	4	15.2	16.5	-1.29	14.9	15.3	-0.47
Tim Thomas	63	63	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	1	8	14.9	16.7	-1.78	15.2	14.4	0.82
Dan Dickau	22	21	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	7	-4	16.5	15.2	1.29	15.3	14.9	0.47
Quinton Ross	39	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	5	0	15.2	15.7	-0.47	15.3	14.7	0.58
Al Thornton	26	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	11	-12	14.4	15.9	-1.54	15.6	14.8	0.83
Paul Davis	14	12	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	18	-26	18.3	15.0	3.26	15.0	15.0	0.04

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	12	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-11	12	15.8	14.8	0.99	17.8	15.1	2.71
Kenny Thomas	20	18	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-11	12	15.1	14.9	0.17	14.7	15.7	-0.97
Darryl Watkins	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-9	8	8.0	15.0	-7.04	20.0	15.5	4.54
Justin Williams	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	6.5	15.2	-8.65	20.0	15.5	4.54
Quincy Douby	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-12	14	14.0	15.3	-1.31	17.0	14.9	2.12
Mikki Moore	48	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-7	4	14.8	15.1	-0.28	15.1	15.9	-0.77
Francisco Garcia	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-6	2	15.2	14.5	0.71	15.5	15.4	0.10
Metta World Peace	80	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	0	-10	15.1	14.4	0.63	15.5	15.5	0.01
Brad Miller	72	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.14	-10	0	-10	14.9	15.2	-0.34	15.1	17.0	-1.86
Beno Udrih	70	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	5	-20	15.2	14.3	0.85	15.3	16.1	-0.85
John Salmons	81	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	1	-12	15.1	14.2	0.86	15.5	15.8	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
IND 98, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.6%
POR 94, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.9%