NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	6.5 [494]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (POR): +5.8%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	4.2 [141]		LVP	John Starks (NYK): -18.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	12	77%	0.22	6	-0.16	6	83%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.06
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	13	63%	0.07	4	-0.12	12	83%	-0.00
Rumeal Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	3	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Chris Dudley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Rasheed Wallace	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	14	35%	-0.11	1	-0.01	9	56%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	78%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	11	52%	0.01	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	9	50%	0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	13	39%	-0.13	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	22	58%	0.00	4	-0.14	16	75%	-0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	9	28%	-0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	27.3	15.5	28.4	2.5	42.5	143.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +56.8%

NYK -11.2%

NYK -14.0%

POR +17.1%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	14.6	15.6	94.9	87.1	104.4
season	15.5	15.1		105.2	102.0
opponent	16.1	15.5		98.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.1	13.8	14.2	13.0	14.2
NYK	15.2	13.9	15.8	13.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	92	95	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-3	12	14.1	14.9	-0.72	14.8	11.7	3.12
Kenny Anderson	89	91	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-3	12	14.2	13.9	0.32	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Rasheed Wallace	80	81	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-2	10	14.2	14.3	-0.15	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Isaiah Rider	90	91	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	2	2	14.3	12.8	1.56	14.7	13.8	0.89
Gary Trent	44	44	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-4	14	13.2	15.0	-1.78	14.8	14.5	0.30
Arvydas Sabonis	60	60	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	7	-8	14.8	13.3	1.54	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Stacey Augmon	9	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	4	-2	12.8	14.3	-1.56	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Rumeal Robinson	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	9	-12	13.9	14.2	-0.32	15.4	14.5	0.88
Chris Dudley	21	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	14	-22	14.9	14.0	0.84	15.2	14.4	0.74

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.17	1	-7	8	14.9	14.5	0.45	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Herb Williams	20	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-6	6	14.4	14.6	-0.19	15.2	14.0	1.19
Allan Houston	57	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-4	2	14.3	15.0	-0.78	14.3	14.0	0.28
Charlie Ward	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-5	4	13.8	15.0	-1.23	12.5	15.1	-2.68
John Starks	47	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-4	2	14.1	15.0	-0.89	12.3	15.6	-3.23
Charles Oakley	87	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-5	4	14.5	15.4	-0.96	14.2	14.5	-0.31
Patrick Ewing	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	0	-6	14.6	14.4	0.19	14.0	15.2	-1.19
Chris Childs	68	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	1	-8	15.1	13.6	1.48	15.2	12.0	3.24
Larry Johnson	82	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.22	-12	6	-18	15.1	12.5	2.56	15.0	10.8	4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 125, PHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.6%
TOR 101, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0	93.5%
NJN 84, ATL 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	93.4%