NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	6.1 [570]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +26.8%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	4.3 [104]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -13.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.27	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.24	0.04	0.02	15	90%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	15	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.02
Robert Archibald	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.09	0.07	-0.01	25	52%	0.14	6	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lonny Baxter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	6	47%	0.00	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	17	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	13	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	17	41%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	18	52%	-0.00	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.4	30.5	21.4	30.8	3.8	32.2	149.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +49.0%

TOR +1.7%

TOR +6.5%

PHX -6.6%

PHX -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	17.1	14.9	15.7	111.0	105.6	100.5
season	16.8	14.6		94.8	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.7		103.6	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.2	17.9	15.6	18.7	17.1
PHX	14.4	16.4	15.7	13.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	81	79	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.22	17	-10	27	16.5	21.4	-4.87	14.5	17.9	-3.37
Vince Carter	79	79	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.17	17	-10	27	16.7	19.6	-2.90	14.6	17.6	-3.03
Donyell Marshall	77	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-6	19	16.7	18.9	-2.20	14.6	16.2	-1.55
Chris Bosh	53	52	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	0	7	17.3	16.7	0.61	14.7	15.2	-0.43
Milt Palacio	45	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	4	-1	16.2	17.9	-1.71	15.9	13.9	1.98
Michael Curry	38	38	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	10	-13	17.8	16.5	1.24	15.0	14.9	0.11
Alvin Williams	57	55	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.22	-6	13	-19	18.2	15.2	2.92	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Lonny Baxter	12	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	9	-11	15.3	17.3	-2.00	16.5	14.7	1.87
Robert Archibald	4	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	8	-9	20.0	16.9	3.07	16.4	14.8	1.58
Lamond Murray	9	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	17	-27	22.0	16.5	5.48	18.7	14.5	4.22

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	11	10	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-9	11	15.7	14.8	0.93	16.4	17.1	-0.75
Amar'e Stoudemire	60	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-12	17	13.9	16.9	-3.00	18.1	14.6	3.57
Jahidi White	2	3	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-3	-1	25.0	14.7	10.32	13.0	17.2	-4.20
Howard Eisley	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-12	17	15.0	14.8	0.21	18.0	16.3	1.61
Jake Voskuhl	66	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.19	-2	-5	3	14.5	16.1	-1.59	17.6	15.5	2.07
Casey Jacobsen	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	15.9	13.8	2.13	16.0	18.2	-2.20
Joe Johnson	85	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-1	-5	15.0	12.2	2.79	17.0	18.8	-1.83
Leandro Barbosa	52	54	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.02	-18	11	-29	15.4	14.2	1.14	16.1	18.4	-2.26
Shawn Marion	82	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	5	-17	14.5	19.3	-4.75	16.9	18.7	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.5%
OKC 111, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0	93.4%
TOR 101, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0	93.4%