inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 101 Excitement6.5 [549] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +28.3%
Boston Celtics 94 Comeback5.8 [176] LVPJae Crowder (BOS): -10.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.280,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.280.240.080.041869%0.311-0.021392%0.05
Norman Powell0.210,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.170.080.031083%0.2100.00475%-0.01
Terrence Ross0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pascal Siakam-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.02-0.00736%0.011-0.0300%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.030,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03-0.120.06-0.022543%0.105-0.136100%0.04
Lucas Nogueira-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0100%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.01-0.00733%-0.0500.00475%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.00743%-0.032-0.0500%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.030.00580%0.1000.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.09-0.000.011186%0.194-0.1100%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jaylen Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.01-0.00658%0.0200.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.030.001243%0.021-0.02475%0.01
Marcus Smart0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.021144%0.022-0.04560%-0.03
Tyler Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.030.061354%-0.014-0.09967%-0.04
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.020.02731%-0.052-0.05250%-0.02
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.05-0.001129%-0.1100.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.12.424.615.429.42.335.7131.9
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +19.7%
TOR +21.7%
TOR +2.0%
TOR +6.5%
TOR +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORBOSNBATORBOSNBA
this game15.414.214.8104.195.9107.7
season15.214.7110.0110.1
opponent14.914.9108.3106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.313.715.317.515.4
BOS13.017.012.414.614.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMar DeRozan81800.62-0.120.730.1516-92515.017.5-2.5212.919.6-6.69
Patrick Patterson61620.57-0.070.650.1913-61915.016.0-1.0114.313.90.33
Kyle Lowry73730.51-0.010.530.1612-51716.013.52.5113.815.3-1.57
Lucas Nogueira39420.480.020.450.3061516.314.81.5715.313.32.02
Norman Powell72720.400.100.310.2652315.814.11.7113.815.0-1.15
Terrence Ross30340.180.32-0.150.1516-515.015.6-0.5216.413.03.46
Jonas Valanciunas5250-0.040.54-0.58-0.0407-714.916.0-1.1313.814.5-0.64
Pascal Siakam3030-0.050.55-0.59-0.02-18-915.415.4-0.0414.214.10.07
Cory Joseph4747-0.170.67-0.840.33-1724-4115.015.8-0.7614.813.51.26

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Smart72710.14-0.640.78-0.2112-193114.712.71.9915.714.61.11
Amir Johnson26260.01-0.510.530.010-7714.114.2-0.0516.015.20.78
Jonas Jerebko3432-0.02-0.480.45-0.175-121716.413.03.4114.915.6-0.72
Tyler Zeller109-0.10-0.400.31-0.07-1-6517.513.83.7316.415.31.16
Jaylen Brown4542-0.13-0.370.23-0.316-131915.313.22.1015.015.7-0.65
Jae Crowder6668-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.15-92-1113.216.1-2.8815.814.41.35
Al Horford6567-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.13-103-1313.216.1-2.9715.615.00.57
Kelly Olynyk4947-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.11-114-1514.114.2-0.0614.915.9-1.01
Terry Rozier5150-0.530.03-0.57-0.12-147-2114.913.41.4814.816.0-1.26
Avery Bradley7273-0.600.10-0.70-0.22-136-1912.718.2-5.5015.415.30.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 101, PHX 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,093.4%
BKN 94, TOR 880.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,093.3%
PHI 117, NYK 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,093.1%