inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 100 Excitement6.5 [554] MVPHassan Whiteside (MIA): +19.8%
New York Knicks 92 Comeback3.0 [703] LVPDamyean Dotson (NYK): -28.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.120.110.031065%0.2000.00650%-0.03
Dion Waiters0.100,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.110.030.042361%0.142-0.0400%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.011100%0.041-0.042100%0.01
Kelly Olynyk-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.02-0.021048%0.032-0.04580%0.01
Bam Adebayo-0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.020.02667%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ryan Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
James Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01831%0.012-0.0700%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.011644%0.014-0.084100%0.01
Goran Dragic-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.05-0.021436%-0.045-0.1300%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.020.03490%0.071-0.01250%-0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.020.021267%0.144-0.111283%0.03
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.00350%0.031-0.022100%0.02
Luke Kornet0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.06-0.050.011457%-0.001-0.002100%0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.02-0.021443%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Kadeem Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01647%0.022-0.06580%-0.01
Kevin Knox0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.011650%0.043-0.1000%0.00
Damyean Dotson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.28-0.19-0.10-0.01811%-0.124-0.152100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.01.626.415.426.01.832.2131.5
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +24.2%
NYK -7.4%
MIA +30.4%
MIA +5.3%
NYK -2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game15.313.714.3102.091.1109.3
season14.814.5106.3103.8
opponent14.114.3112.5106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.513.816.115.915.3
NYK13.313.415.212.913.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk63640.72-0.220.940.2516-82415.914.31.6314.412.42.07
Hassan Whiteside44450.460.040.420.2571614.516.0-1.4612.314.7-2.40
Goran Dragic77800.400.100.300.3135-215.116.0-0.8813.514.1-0.61
Derrick Jones Jr.40440.370.130.24-0.0414-62015.615.10.5815.212.42.81
Dion Waiters75770.290.210.080.0871615.614.31.3113.414.4-0.99
Dwyane Wade57580.230.27-0.040.2017-614.516.4-1.8613.414.0-0.59
Bam Adebayo52550.160.34-0.18-0.0262416.014.61.4014.812.32.46
James Johnson51500.130.37-0.240.25-412-1615.215.4-0.2312.814.5-1.71
Ryan Anderson1111-0.010.51-0.51-0.0417-616.815.11.7014.913.51.40
Duncan Robinson2021-0.250.75-1.000.07-1119-3014.115.6-1.5211.414.3-2.88

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dennis Smith Jr.4039-0.13-0.370.24-0.223-111412.514.4-1.9314.915.6-0.72
Damyean Dotson5150-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-6413.713.60.1715.215.5-0.30
Kevin Knox8379-0.22-0.280.06-0.13-3-5213.614.2-0.6115.614.21.42
Luke Kornet7873-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.20-2-6413.315.0-1.6715.813.91.86
Lance Thomas4647-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.19-4-4014.812.72.0614.616.0-1.45
Kadeem Allen5655-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.16-80-813.713.7-0.0115.215.4-0.20
Mitchell Robinson7876-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.13-102-1213.414.6-1.2215.315.30.04
Emmanuel Mudiay7371-0.580.08-0.66-0.17-146-2014.411.82.5515.415.00.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 98, DET 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,093.9%
LAC 97, SAC 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,093.9%
DET 96, MIN 860.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.36,0.24,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.01,0,093.1%