NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	5.9 [599]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +17.9%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	2.9 [238]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): -16.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.11	-0.04	14	61%	0.20	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	21	57%	0.06	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.05	-0.05	12	46%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Erick Strickland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	16	67%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	92%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	13	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	9	35%	-0.08	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.3	29.5	17.4	27.7	3.3	35.5	143.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.2%

DET -5.2%

DET -3.4%

IND +22.6%

IND +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	16.0	15.5	108.9	103.4	101.6
season	15.4	16.8		102.2	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.6	17.1	15.6	19.1	16.2
DET	15.2	16.3	15.7	16.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	53	53	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-8	22	16.4	15.8	0.60	16.1	15.8	0.26
Brad Miller	45	49	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-9	24	15.9	16.5	-0.64	17.5	14.2	3.29
Jermaine O'Neal	90	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	0	6	16.2	0.0	16.19	16.1	2.0	14.15
Erick Strickland	25	25	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	3	0	17.9	15.5	2.40	16.9	15.6	1.24
Al Harrington	65	65	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.40	-7	13	-20	16.8	14.6	2.26	15.1	18.3	-3.15
Reggie Miller	57	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	5	-4	15.2	18.0	-2.81	16.2	15.7	0.51
Jamaal Tinsley	65	64	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	3	0	15.5	17.9	-2.40	15.6	16.9	-1.24
Jeff Foster	2	2	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	6	-6	26.0	16.0	10.03	2.0	16.3	-14.31
Austin Croshere	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	6	-6	18.2	15.5	2.75	14.9	16.4	-1.51
Tim Hardaway	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	6	-6	14.7	16.3	-1.58	18.1	15.8	2.34
Jonathan Bender	16	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	11	-16	13.9	16.7	-2.81	15.3	16.1	-0.80

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	15	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-7	8	17.9	15.6	2.26	14.8	16.5	-1.68
Jon Barry	48	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.34	10	-16	26	15.1	17.1	-2.01	16.7	15.6	1.11
Corliss Williamson	55	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-10	14	15.6	16.7	-1.11	17.5	14.0	3.50
Mehmet Okur	21	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	2	-10	16.8	15.7	1.01	14.5	16.7	-2.18
Michael Curry	34	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	4	-14	16.7	15.6	1.11	14.0	17.5	-3.50
Richard Hamilton	51	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	1	-8	16.4	15.4	0.99	16.3	16.1	0.20
Ben Wallace	81	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	0	-6	16.2	13.9	2.32	16.7	12.3	4.38
Chauncey Billups	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	1	-8	15.6	17.9	-2.26	16.3	15.6	0.76
Clifford Robinson	66	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	1	-8	15.8	16.4	-0.60	15.9	17.0	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 125, PHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.4%
MIL 113, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.05,0.08,0	94.0%
MIA 100, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%