NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	134		Excitement	4.3 [928]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +25.7%
Indiana Pacers	114		Comeback	1.1 [801]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): -6.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.21	0.03	-0.01	16	74%	0.30	2	-0.04	11	100%	0.05
Derek Fisher	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	5	110%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.01	6	94%	0.16	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	10	78%	0.12	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	65%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	6	63%	0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Chris Mihm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby Karl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.21	0.00	0.07	11	89%	0.14	1	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	11	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	6	17%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	13	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	12	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	13	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.6	31.2	15.6	28.3	2.5	31.4	142.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +63.5%

LAL +6.6%

IND -13.2%

IND -10.4%

LAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	13.8	15.4	131.4	110.7	105.7
season	14.6	13.8		110.6	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	14.3	14.2	14.0	14.3
IND	14.7	14.5	13.5	12.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	59	61	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.22	26	-6	32	13.8	14.9	-1.06	15.2	11.8	3.41
Kobe Bryant	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.02	17	3	14	14.1	14.7	-0.66	14.2	13.1	1.09
Derek Fisher	46	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	8	4	13.6	14.9	-1.29	14.6	13.2	1.45
Luke Walton	55	55	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.18	18	2	16	14.6	13.9	0.66	14.5	13.0	1.55
Lamar Odom	59	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	14	-8	14.5	14.1	0.39	13.9	13.7	0.23
Vladimir Radmanovic	41	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.10	13	7	6	12.7	15.4	-2.73	14.5	13.3	1.25
Jordan Farmar	44	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	12	-4	15.9	13.1	2.76	13.8	13.8	-0.04
Ronny Turiaf	35	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	19	-18	15.7	13.5	2.21	12.7	14.3	-1.59
Sasha Vujacic	38	37	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.21	8	12	-4	15.4	13.6	1.80	12.6	14.5	-1.85
Javaris Crittenton	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	11.6	14.8	-3.16	10.9	14.3	-3.36
Coby Karl	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	10.6	14.7	-4.10	12.0	14.0	-1.98
Chris Mihm	43	42	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	26	-32	14.9	13.8	1.06	11.8	15.2	-3.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Sims	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-18	16	11.3	13.9	-2.55	9.2	14.5	-5.25
David Harrison	42	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-26	32	12.8	14.5	-1.64	14.5	14.2	0.34
Kareem Rush	32	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-16	12	12.6	14.4	-1.80	14.1	14.4	-0.23
Mike Dunleavy	46	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-19	18	13.5	14.1	-0.55	14.4	14.2	0.19
Travis Diener	19	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-19	18	11.7	14.3	-2.60	13.2	14.5	-1.30
Jeff Foster	32	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-15	10	15.4	13.1	2.37	14.2	14.3	-0.12
Marquis Daniels	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.10	-12	-8	-4	12.8	14.4	-1.54	15.2	13.7	1.43
Troy Murphy	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-10	0	12.6	15.2	-2.55	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Shawne Williams	57	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	-4	-12	13.5	14.1	-0.59	14.1	14.5	-0.44
Jamaal Tinsley	73	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-5	-10	14.8	11.3	3.58	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Danny Granger	59	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	-4	-12	15.0	12.2	2.87	15.0	13.4	1.64
Jermaine O'Neal	57	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.22	-24	4	-28	14.8	12.5	2.32	14.4	14.2	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, MIL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DAL 98, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DAL 109, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%