inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 107 Excitement6.2 [548] MVPRichard Hamilton (DET): +26.3%
Seattle SuperSonics 103 Comeback1.3 [784] LVPTayshaun Prince (DET): -9.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0.260,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.260.160.120.022163%0.281-0.02978%-0.00
Rasheed Wallace0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.230.060.12-0.041262%0.251-0.0200%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.030.011156%0.0800.003100%0.02
Ronald Murray0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.040.05-0.03631%0.0500.00475%0.01
Amir Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Jason Maxiell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01050%0.011-0.03650%-0.04
Nazr Mohammed-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01430%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Chauncey Billups-0.050,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.050.02-0.060.00653%0.021-0.08580%0.02
Antonio McDyess-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.10-0.031354%0.073-0.16250%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.15-0.01-0.061331%-0.034-0.0700%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.180.180.100.100.024100%0.1800.002100%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.010.041063%0.0500.007100%0.02
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.011054%0.062-0.04887%0.01
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.020.02-0.000.02-0.01750%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Damien Wilkins0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.030.02972%0.152-0.1500%0.00
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.03-0.03633%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Robert Swift0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.0340%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04-0.04-0.040.010.012042%0.022-0.06580%0.03
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01533%-0.032-0.042100%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.02-0.10-0.011152%-0.061-0.013100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.832.114.728.21.838.3141.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +33.3%
SEA -1.7%
DET +17.0%
SEA -0.1%
DET +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETSEANBADETSEANBA
this game14.913.315.4103.9102.0105.7
season16.814.5108.899.1
opponent15.015.8107.9101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.314.216.016.314.9
SEA16.211.511.714.313.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasheed Wallace76760.75-0.250.990.1321-173814.616.0-1.4014.310.14.21
Tayshaun Prince71710.54-0.040.580.308-41215.813.02.8013.712.41.31
Chauncey Billups74700.390.110.290.255-1615.214.30.9113.013.9-0.89
Richard Hamilton91880.360.140.220.2440414.915.4-0.5512.816.4-3.56
Antonio McDyess70690.300.200.090.2131215.613.52.1313.113.7-0.54
Jarvis Hayes42400.140.36-0.220.26-48-1213.216.1-2.8613.313.3-0.02
Ronald Murray34360.110.39-0.280.14-15-613.615.6-1.9613.813.00.85
Nazr Mohammed19180.090.41-0.320.0031213.315.3-1.9811.413.7-2.31
Jason Maxiell2626-0.070.57-0.640.23-1014-2416.014.61.4814.213.01.22
Amir Johnson1211-0.110.61-0.710.16-913-2216.814.72.159.313.8-4.51

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Green54540.25-0.751.00-0.3119-234211.815.0-3.2815.814.01.82
Delonte West45440.11-0.610.71-0.3616-203612.713.8-1.0814.415.3-0.87
Kurt Thomas40420.06-0.560.63-0.3514-183212.513.8-1.2214.815.0-0.25
Wally Szczerbiak33350.05-0.550.60-0.2410-142411.314.2-2.9013.315.8-2.49
Nick Collison5857-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.383-71013.513.00.4615.214.60.62
Robert Swift2526-0.33-0.17-0.170.22-1915-3414.512.91.5914.615.0-0.42
Chris Wilcox5959-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.15-95-1414.411.82.5714.815.0-0.20
Luke Ridnour6365-0.520.02-0.54-0.17-128-2013.313.20.0815.114.60.56
Kevin Durant6971-0.630.13-0.75-0.13-1713-3013.413.00.4214.815.2-0.42
Damien Wilkins5962-0.790.29-1.08-0.06-2521-4614.811.23.5915.514.11.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.28,0.57,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 119, PHI 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.08,091.8%
HOU 96, SEA 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.02,0.16,0.45,0.04,091.1%
PHI 108, NYK 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.24,0.05,090.8%