NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	119		Excitement	6.5 [484]		MVP	Doug Overton (PHI): +11.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	1.0 [501]		LVP	Mark Hendrickson (PHI): -21.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	22	43%	0.04	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.02	-0.10	0.07	-0.05	26	42%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Alton Lister	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.07	20	70%	0.05	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	14	61%	0.06	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
Nate Driggers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brett Szabo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09	0.02	-0.06	0.05	8	60%	-0.09	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	13	66%	0.14	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	55%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	57%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	21	48%	-0.03	4	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.05	0.04	25	53%	-0.07	4	-0.05	10	90%	0.03
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	5	25%	-0.13	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	24.4	15.6	29.1	2.5	38.6	135.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.5%

PHI -2.6%

BOS +28.1%

PHI -6.1%

BOS +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	15.6	116.7	109.7	104.4
season	14.8	14.7		101.8	101.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		108.4	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.1	15.3	13.9	14.6	14.2
PHI	14.6	13.0	13.3	14.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	99	100	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-4	14	14.2	15.0	-0.80	13.7	19.0	-5.28
Todd Day	91	92	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-4	14	14.1	15.6	-1.58	13.8	14.2	-0.34
David Wesley	98	99	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	0	6	14.4	10.5	3.88	14.2	5.2	8.97
Brett Szabo	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	-2	10	13.4	15.7	-2.27	14.1	13.5	0.60
Marty Conlon	91	91	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-3	12	14.6	10.9	3.72	14.3	11.0	3.25
Alton Lister	39	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.31	-6	12	-18	13.7	14.5	-0.82	12.6	14.7	-2.04
Michael Hawkins	4	4	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	10.5	14.4	-3.88	5.2	14.2	-8.97
Nate Driggers	16	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.11	-8	14	-22	15.4	14.0	1.36	15.1	13.6	1.42

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Caldwell	46	46	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.28	11	-17	28	13.9	13.9	0.03	14.7	13.8	0.86
Mark Hendrickson	47	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.45	11	-17	28	13.4	14.2	-0.82	14.7	13.8	0.95
Michael Cage	29	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	2	-10	15.5	13.2	2.29	12.6	14.8	-2.18
Doug Overton	66	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.56	13	-19	32	13.9	13.8	0.14	14.6	13.5	1.05
Mark Bradtke	16	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	4	-14	10.9	14.4	-3.48	14.9	14.1	0.75
Mark Davis	46	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.27	-23	17	-40	14.2	13.6	0.54	13.5	14.7	-1.27
Jerry Stackhouse	94	93	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-4	2	13.7	15.8	-2.09	14.3	13.3	0.98
Allen Iverson	103	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.9	0.0	13.87	14.2	0.0	14.23
Clar. Weatherspoon	68	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.07	-16	10	-26	14.2	13.3	0.85	14.1	14.5	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.37,0.24,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.09,0	93.5%
PHX 103, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.11,0.02,0	93.2%
DAL 96, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.32,0.28,0	92.3%