NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	10.2 [59]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +24.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	9999+ [1261]		LVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): -66.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sedale Threatt	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.24	-0.02	0.25	-0.00	5	58%	0.28	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Charles Barkley	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.18	-0.09	0.24	-0.02	17	49%	0.20	4	-0.02	7	71%	0.15
Kevin Willis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.06	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Eddie Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.10	0.05	0.23	9	86%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.16,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.24,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	0.03	0.26	0.70	21	61%	-0.36	4	-0.05	7	86%	-0.03
Clyde Drexler	-0.63	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.63	-0.12	-0.16	0.35	14	30%	-0.60	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.24	0.24	-0.04	0.49	0.20	16	51%	0.30	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.11
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.15	0.13	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.13
Larry Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.02	0.05	4	75%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.06	5	60%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.35,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.00	0.02	0.39	13	50%	-0.37	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.07
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.25,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.54,-0.58	-0.58	-0.10	0.07	0.54	14	52%	-0.47	4	-0.11	14	71%	-0.34
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.66	-0.66	-0.01	0.31	0.97	10	57%	-0.62	2	-0.04	8	87%	-0.37

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	149.6	0.2	-30.9	0.2	-30.9	0.2	-40.0	48.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +18.2%

HOU -79.4%

HOU -5.6%

SEA +6.2%

SEA +110.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.0	15.6	102.1	103.1	104.4
season	15.5	14.9		107.2	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.4		100.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.4	14.8	14.8	14.3	15.4
SEA	13.1	14.0	16.6	16.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	77	78	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-11	25	14.8	17.8	-2.95	15.3	13.4	1.88
Clyde Drexler	85	85	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-8	19	15.2	16.4	-1.21	14.8	16.3	-1.47
Sedale Threatt	46	49	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.57	-2	5	-7	14.2	16.5	-2.26	15.0	14.9	0.06
Matt Maloney	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	-4	11	15.6	15.0	0.67	14.7	15.3	-0.52
Hakeem Olajuwon	79	82	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.44	-5	8	-13	16.0	11.7	4.30	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Mario Elie	79	80	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	3	-3	15.9	12.2	3.75	15.5	12.5	2.96
Kevin Willis	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	6	-9	14.9	15.6	-0.63	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Eddie Johnson	19	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	10	-17	15.4	15.3	0.02	14.3	15.2	-0.87

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	61	65	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.16	17	-20	37	14.9	15.1	-0.14	16.2	13.6	2.60
Larry Stewart	4	3	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-8	13	0.7	15.6	-14.84	15.0	15.4	-0.36
Eric Snow	16	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-4	5	14.5	15.1	-0.56	14.1	15.6	-1.42
Hersey Hawkins	76	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	15.5	13.1	2.36	15.8	13.7	2.10
David Wingate	33	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-2	1	13.3	15.8	-2.54	14.8	15.6	-0.86
Detlef Schrempf	78	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	15.1	14.5	0.58	15.4	15.1	0.36
Gary Payton	87	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	4	-11	14.9	15.9	-1.02	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Shawn Kemp	76	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	6	-15	16.1	10.6	5.52	15.4	15.2	0.15
Terry Cummings	49	47	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.05	-17	14	-31	14.9	15.0	-0.10	14.2	16.5	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.02,0.16,0.45,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 99, GSW 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.09,0	92.5%
SAC 103, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0	92.2%
LAL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.03,0	91.9%