NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	9.4 [87]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +30.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	2.0 [675]		LVP	Chris Wilcox (SEA): -22.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.31	0.01	0.29	-0.01	19	55%	0.43	4	-0.12	11	64%	-0.03
Jarron Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	15	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	8	65%	0.11	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	9	45%	0.12	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02
Gordan Giricek	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	8	73%	0.12	4	-0.17	6	100%	0.04
Paul Millsap	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.13	0.00	12	58%	0.24	3	-0.09	9	56%	-0.04
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.01	6	83%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	9	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	21	41%	0.06	3	-0.13	7	71%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.09,-0.12	-0.12	0.03	-0.15	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23	-0.23	-0.01	-0.20	0.02	11	61%	0.00	4	-0.23	6	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	29.2	14.8	33.1	0.8	34.2	139.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +24.1%

UTA +9.6%

SEA -4.2%

UTA +16.9%

UTA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	15.2	13.3	15.4	103.0	99.0	105.7
season	15.5	14.5		111.2	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.0		107.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.5	17.0	14.1	15.7	15.2
SEA	12.2	15.1	12.1	14.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	74	75	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-7	16	14.6	16.8	-2.22	13.4	13.2	0.15
Carlos Boozer	70	71	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.48	7	-5	12	14.4	17.0	-2.52	13.1	13.9	-0.87
Mehmet Okur	66	68	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.52	5	-3	8	14.5	16.6	-2.15	12.8	14.4	-1.66
Ronnie Brewer	67	68	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	0	2	14.4	16.9	-2.51	12.5	15.0	-2.46
Deron Williams	83	84	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	-2	6	15.2	15.4	-0.26	13.8	11.0	2.83
Jason Hart	17	18	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	4	-6	15.4	15.2	0.26	11.0	13.8	-2.83
Gordan Giricek	25	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.06	-3	5	-8	17.2	14.5	2.72	15.0	12.8	2.19
Jarron Collins	30	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.07	-3	5	-8	16.9	14.5	2.38	14.6	12.8	1.88
Paul Millsap	34	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	7	-12	16.7	14.4	2.28	13.8	13.1	0.69
Matt Harpring	34	35	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	6	-10	16.6	14.5	2.10	13.6	13.2	0.45

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	22	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	15.5	12.7	2.82	14.4	15.4	-0.98
Wally Szczerbiak	19	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-3	4	15.2	12.9	2.24	17.4	14.7	2.67
Robert Swift	41	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	3	-8	12.5	13.9	-1.33	14.4	15.7	-1.25
Earl Watson	52	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	3	-8	13.1	13.6	-0.48	14.2	16.3	-2.06
Chris Wilcox	67	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-4	6	13.4	13.1	0.29	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Kevin Durant	76	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-4	6	13.0	14.3	-1.31	15.0	15.9	-0.96
Damien Wilkins	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.13	-5	3	-8	12.7	14.6	-1.93	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Delonte West	50	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-5	8	13.6	13.1	0.48	16.3	14.2	2.06
Nick Collison	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-5	8	12.8	13.9	-1.12	15.8	14.5	1.29
Jeff Green	61	57	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.54	-5	3	-8	14.0	12.3	1.66	15.3	15.1	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.65,0.67,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.47,0	92.4%
WAS 86, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.15,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.57,0.53,0	92.1%
MIA 102, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	91.3%