NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	9.6 [72]		MVP	Nene (WAS): +57.6%
Miami Heat	84		Comeback	2.5 [177]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): -33.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.58	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.58	-0.01	0.58	-0.01	9	55%	0.66	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.16	-0.00	15	69%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jan Vesely	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	11	57%	-0.01	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	-0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.26,-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	14	23%	-0.23	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.02	12	67%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.16	0.16	-0.08	0.23	-0.01	8	37%	0.28	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.08	0.00	3	25%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Dexter Pittman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dwyane Wade	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	11	48%	0.05	4	-0.16	1	0%	-0.04
Mario Chalmers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	17	41%	-0.02	6	-0.17	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	33.8	15.7	26.3	2.4	30.8	136.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +28.0%

MIA -25.2%

WAS +18.6%

WAS +23.5%

WAS +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.0	15.6	92.5	91.3	102.8
season	15.0	15.5		99.5	105.6
opponent	15.8	15.7		98.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.9	15.5	14.5	16.9	15.2
MIA	15.4	16.5	16.9	15.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	78	76	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.52	11	-9	20	15.1	15.4	-0.27	16.1	15.1	1.02
Nene	41	39	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.51	11	-9	20	14.0	16.1	-2.18	16.6	15.5	1.08
Cartier Martin	75	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.50	0	2	-2	15.1	15.4	-0.27	15.2	18.9	-3.76
James Singleton	32	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	-5	12	13.1	16.2	-3.12	16.5	15.7	0.78
Maurice Evans	50	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	6	-10	16.2	14.0	2.18	16.6	15.2	1.38
Jordan Crawford	56	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	2	-2	15.7	14.4	1.23	14.7	18.0	-3.28
Chris Singleton	14	15	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-5	12	12.4	15.7	-3.31	17.7	15.6	2.11
Jan Vesely	42	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	3	-4	15.5	14.9	0.55	16.4	15.6	0.76
Shelvin Mack	15	16	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.08	-9	11	-20	15.4	15.1	0.27	15.1	16.1	-1.02
Kevin Seraphin	62	61	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.07	-12	14	-26	16.3	13.0	3.31	16.2	15.6	0.58

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	62	64	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-7	12	16.2	15.4	0.79	14.6	16.4	-1.80
Udonis Haslem	54	56	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.15	8	-10	18	15.8	16.2	-0.37	15.6	14.5	1.09
Mike Miller	49	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	15.9	16.1	-0.19	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Dwyane Wade	6	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	2	-6	18.2	15.8	2.35	12.8	15.3	-2.51
Dexter Pittman	26	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-1	0	16.1	15.9	0.15	16.0	14.8	1.24
Terrel Harris	29	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-3	4	16.5	15.7	0.80	15.0	15.3	-0.25
Juwan Howard	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	1	-4	15.2	16.2	-1.00	13.8	15.5	-1.73
Norris Cole	46	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.48	1	-3	4	15.7	16.2	-0.46	16.1	14.2	1.89
Mario Chalmers	66	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.47	-3	1	-4	15.2	18.0	-2.89	15.9	13.4	2.49
Shane Battier	46	46	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.46	-7	5	-12	15.8	16.1	-0.33	14.8	15.5	-0.64
Joel Anthony	58	57	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.58	-6	4	-10	16.8	14.5	2.37	14.5	16.2	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.15,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.57,0.53,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.65,0.67,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.41,0	92.1%
HOU 112, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.28,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.55,0.42,0	91.4%
HOU 98, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.47,0	90.1%