inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 90 Excitement6.0 [591] MVPMartell Webster (POR): +15.5%
Portland Trail Blazers 93 Comeback2.4 [326] LVPPeja Stojakovic (NOH): -19.6%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David West0.110,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.110.14-0.000.032659%0.131-0.026100%0.04
Hilton Armstrong0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02458%0.041-0.01475%0.01
Tyson Chandler0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.020.00755%0.083-0.07683%0.01
Ryan Bowen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Melvin Ely0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Julian Wright-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.020.02540%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07-0.02-0.010.031136%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Chris Paul-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13-0.03-0.050.041553%0.004-0.134100%0.01
Peja Stojakovic-0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.13-0.060.001319%-0.181-0.0200%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.07-0.021469%0.243-0.081100%0.05
Brandon Roy0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.080.080.000.090.011846%0.111-0.0210%-0.01
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.00553%0.0600.00771%-0.00
Channing Frye0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.01850%0.0400.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.01733%-0.0200.0010%-0.02
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.030.04967%0.083-0.111283%0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.020.011150%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.02714%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.0240%-0.062-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.730.516.024.01.831.0130.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +49.3%
NOH -8.3%
POR +8.1%
NOH -3.0%
POR +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHPORNBANOHPORNBA
this game16.115.215.497.8101.1105.7
season15.916.7109.6105.5
opponent15.415.7106.1104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH18.213.319.513.916.1
POR13.916.213.916.715.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hilton Armstrong17180.00-0.500.50-0.031-4517.315.81.4814.315.4-1.17
Jannero Pargo1615-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-3318.115.72.4715.215.2-0.02
Melvin Ely87-0.03-0.470.430.03-2-1-116.616.00.5921.314.76.57
Julian Wright55-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-1-119.815.93.9313.415.3-1.92
Ryan Bowen1414-0.14-0.360.23-0.08-2-1-117.215.91.3314.915.3-0.34
Bobby Jackson3940-0.22-0.280.07-0.272-5715.816.3-0.4216.014.61.34
Tyson Chandler5756-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-63-916.814.91.8514.915.7-0.74
Morris Peterson4747-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.08-74-1116.515.70.7814.316.2-1.97
Rasual Butler4748-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.310-3315.516.7-1.2715.914.51.37
Chris Paul6767-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.465-81315.118.8-3.7315.414.60.85
David West7677-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.430-3315.817.6-1.7914.817.5-2.69
Peja Stojakovic6766-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.33-41-515.816.9-1.0915.315.00.30

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Martell Webster77780.52-0.020.540.327-41115.314.90.4216.414.51.87
Steve Blake64650.430.070.370.3721115.215.3-0.1015.417.9-2.50
LaMarcus Aldridge42430.380.120.260.2930315.015.4-0.4916.715.51.23
Jarrett Jack48460.360.140.220.3021115.614.80.7715.516.7-1.22
Travis Outlaw35370.300.200.10-0.0211-81914.615.6-1.0016.715.71.08
Brandon Roy75750.280.220.050.45-69-1514.916.4-1.4715.717.9-2.20
Joel Przybilla38360.230.27-0.050.2012-116.714.22.4516.715.71.09
Channing Frye41410.220.28-0.050.114-1514.715.6-0.9616.915.51.38
Sergio Rodriguez23230.050.45-0.410.0212-116.014.91.1017.615.62.03
Raef LaFrentz1716-0.270.77-1.040.02-1013-2314.115.5-1.4212.416.9-4.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.97,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 100, MIA 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,193.6%
ATL 84, WAS 940.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,193.1%
NJN 65, MIA 900.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.1%