NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	7.3 [333]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +10.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	1.5 [736]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -11.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	6	67%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	18	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	12	50%	0.13	3	-0.09	12	67%	0.01
Malik Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	12	62%	0.12	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	11	27%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.01	9	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	10	64%	0.14	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	8	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	14	64%	-0.07
Willie Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	16	37%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.7	28.8	15.6	26.5	2.4	38.5	141.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +47.8%

NJN +4.1%

NJN +10.9%

PHI -15.3%

NJN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	13.5	15.4	96.9	91.7	105.7
season	15.4	15.2		101.8	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.5		104.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.6	18.8	14.8	16.0	16.5
PHI	16.1	14.0	14.0	10.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	70	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-7	19	16.2	17.0	-0.80	14.4	11.0	3.38
Jason Kidd	71	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-1	7	16.5	16.4	0.02	14.1	12.0	2.11
Antoine Wright	63	62	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	2	1	16.3	16.7	-0.36	12.0	16.3	-4.31
Jason Collins	46	45	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	2	1	16.9	16.0	0.91	15.5	11.8	3.75
Vince Carter	77	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	7	-9	16.3	17.2	-0.87	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Malik Allen	34	34	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	-1	7	15.3	17.1	-1.85	14.5	13.0	1.53
Nenad Krstic	28	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	3	-1	18.9	15.4	3.49	15.3	12.8	2.51
Darrell Armstrong	25	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	6	-7	16.4	16.5	-0.02	12.0	14.1	-2.11
Josh Boone	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	5	-5	0.0	16.6	-16.63	14.0	13.5	0.46
Jamaal Magloire	29	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	8	-11	15.6	16.8	-1.20	11.2	14.6	-3.35
Bostjan Nachbar	36	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	6	-7	17.2	16.0	1.18	11.5	14.7	-3.22

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-6	7	12.5	13.6	-1.14	14.7	16.6	-1.86
Lou Williams	40	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-13	21	10.9	15.4	-4.57	16.7	16.3	0.48
Rodney Carney	37	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-6	7	12.0	14.5	-2.51	15.8	16.8	-1.00
Jason Smith	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-8	11	12.2	14.0	-1.74	14.8	17.0	-2.22
Willie Green	49	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-5	5	15.4	11.6	3.77	17.8	15.1	2.65
Reggie Evans	39	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	4	-13	16.7	11.4	5.31	17.0	16.1	0.88
Samuel Dalembert	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-4	3	13.5	13.6	-0.06	16.6	16.2	0.39
Kyle Korver	69	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	5	-15	12.4	16.6	-4.19	16.2	17.0	-0.82
Andre Iguodala	75	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	3	-11	13.7	12.9	0.88	16.4	16.7	-0.32
Andre Miller	68	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	5	-15	14.4	11.5	2.88	16.4	16.6	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.09,0.25,0.07,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 114, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.03,0.07,0.11,0,0,0	93.5%
ORL 88, PHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.06,0,0	92.6%
HOU 108, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.02,0,0	92.4%