NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	7.0 [417]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +10.9%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	1.7 [967]		LVP	Michael Smith (SAC): -18.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	11	73%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Mario Elie	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clyde Drexler	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	14	59%	0.09	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Sedale Threatt	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	17	56%	0.10	3	-0.11	11	82%	0.02
Eddie Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	11	54%	-0.02	2	-0.03	15	87%	0.04
Matt Bullard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	10	38%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Salvadori	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Gamble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	13	48%	0.03	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.02	18	51%	-0.03	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	5	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	9	61%	0.02	2	-0.11	5	40%	-0.06
Brian Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	48%	-0.07	1	-0.03	13	62%	-0.03
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.5	29.6	15.5	27.3	2.6	32.5	135.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +16.0%

HOU +21.0%

SAC -9.7%

HOU +27.1%

SAC -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.6	112.5	98.9	104.4
season	15.5	15.4		107.2	102.4
opponent	15.4	15.4		106.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.6	15.2	15.0	15.1	15.2
SAC	15.0	14.8	13.8	16.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	76	75	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.13	18	-4	22	14.3	18.6	-4.26	14.2	17.7	-3.58
Hakeem Olajuwon	84	83	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.10	18	-4	22	14.7	18.8	-4.12	14.3	18.9	-4.57
Clyde Drexler	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	2	10	14.9	16.1	-1.25	14.3	16.4	-2.13
Eddie Johnson	53	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-1	16	14.9	15.6	-0.68	14.7	15.2	-0.56
Charles Barkley	73	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	4	6	15.3	14.9	0.47	15.2	14.0	1.19
Mario Elie	59	59	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	16	-18	15.8	14.4	1.38	15.5	14.1	1.40
Matt Bullard	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	11	-8	16.0	15.1	0.91	15.3	14.9	0.40
Othella Harrington	33	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	14	-14	16.2	14.7	1.54	16.5	14.2	2.26
Sedale Threatt	20	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	18	-22	18.6	14.3	4.26	17.7	14.2	3.58

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Gamble	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-13	12	18.2	13.9	4.24	16.1	14.9	1.19
Kevin Salvadori	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-11	8	11.8	15.1	-3.30	14.6	15.3	-0.66
Billy Owens	40	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-12	10	13.5	16.0	-2.46	15.2	15.2	-0.03
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-6	-2	16.2	14.2	2.00	15.7	14.9	0.74
Brian Grant	68	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-11	8	15.3	14.0	1.29	15.6	14.3	1.30
Michael Smith	45	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-7	0	15.2	14.7	0.56	15.5	15.0	0.54
Bobby Hurley	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-2	-10	14.2	16.3	-2.04	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Olden Polynice	72	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	1	-16	14.6	15.9	-1.30	14.8	16.8	-2.06
Corliss Williamson	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-5	-4	15.2	14.4	0.78	15.3	15.1	0.28
Mitch Richmond	73	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.12	-13	-1	-12	13.9	18.2	-4.24	14.9	16.1	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, UTA 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.24,0.13,0.14,0,0,0,0	93.9%
DET 78, BOS 68	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
POR 85, DET 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.13,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.5%