NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Excitement	5.8 [667]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +14.6%
Utah Jazz	77		Comeback	1.8 [352]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -16.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.07	0.03	16	65%	0.21	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Eddie Griffin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	9	70%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.10	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	13	68%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.01	0.04	10	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Richie Frahm	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	1	0%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	29%	-0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	19	33%	-0.12	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	9	38%	-0.03	4	-0.14	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	31.2	15.5	24.4	2.5	26.5	124.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.9%

UTA -1.5%

UTA -2.4%

MIN +7.9%

MIN +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	17.0	16.3	15.6	105.8	88.5	104.4
season	16.1	17.0		101.0	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.9		104.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	15.5	17.9	18.8	17.0
UTA	19.0	14.5	16.4	15.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	66	67	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.04	21	-7	28	16.6	18.2	-1.64	17.2	13.3	3.91
Wally Szczerbiak	64	64	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	1	12	16.9	17.4	-0.50	16.4	16.0	0.36
Marko Jaric	57	55	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	-3	20	16.9	17.2	-0.38	15.7	17.4	-1.68
Trenton Hassell	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.27	1	13	-12	17.4	16.1	1.36	17.0	14.8	2.25
Eddie Griffin	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	5	4	17.9	15.8	2.08	15.2	17.9	-2.70
Michael Olowokandi	36	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	9	-4	15.8	17.9	-2.08	17.9	15.2	2.70
Troy Hudson	40	42	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	8	-2	17.5	16.5	1.00	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Ronald Dupree	12	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	8	-2	12.7	17.7	-4.93	18.8	15.9	2.89
Rashad McCants	24	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	15	-16	17.6	16.8	0.83	15.6	16.6	-1.00
Richie Frahm	3	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	14	-14	18.7	16.9	1.74	8.0	16.6	-8.61
Mark Madsen	20	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	21	-28	18.2	16.6	1.64	13.3	17.2	-3.91

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	22	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-13	12	17.9	15.8	2.08	16.8	17.0	-0.25
Devin Brown	35	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-11	8	15.7	16.7	-1.05	16.6	17.2	-0.61
Gordan Giricek	42	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-12	10	17.7	15.0	2.76	17.0	17.0	-0.07
Jarron Collins	42	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-12	10	17.7	15.0	2.76	17.0	17.0	-0.07
Matt Harpring	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	15.7	17.4	-1.78	17.2	16.5	0.69
Milt Palacio	46	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-3	-8	15.7	17.0	-1.30	17.9	16.0	1.89
Deron Williams	51	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	16.1	16.6	-0.47	16.5	17.8	-1.28
Mehmet Okur	76	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	0	-14	16.0	18.2	-2.14	16.6	19.9	-3.24
Andrei Kirilenko	66	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.04	-17	3	-20	15.7	18.1	-2.35	17.3	16.1	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.24,0.13,0.14,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.02,0,0	93.9%
HOU 91, GSW 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	93.8%
IND 86, WAS 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.08,0.02,0,0,0	93.4%