NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	6.1 [603]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): +33.1%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	2.3 [241]		LVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): -21.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.00	14	63%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lou Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.06	0.02	14	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	11	83%	0.22	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	71%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	15	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.35	0.06	0.08	18	97%	0.36	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	21	58%	0.17	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	12	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	8	24%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	0.04	12	35%	-0.13	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	1.6	27.4	15.0	25.1	1.7	30.8	121.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.4%

HOU -2.8%

PHI +4.2%

HOU -2.9%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	15.3	14.9	15.5	120.0	109.4	105.7
season	15.5	15.2		104.6	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.5		107.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	20.6	13.1	14.1	14.2	15.3
HOU	15.4	18.7	13.1	13.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	73	75	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-1	11	15.4	14.9	0.45	14.1	17.9	-3.84
Elton Brand	64	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-3	15	16.4	13.0	3.39	14.3	16.2	-1.95
Evan Turner	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-5	19	14.7	16.2	-1.48	15.3	14.1	1.22
Lou Williams	49	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-3	15	15.2	15.3	-0.18	14.6	15.2	-0.64
Spencer Hawes	51	53	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	5	-1	16.5	13.7	2.80	15.0	14.8	0.17
Thaddeus Young	49	49	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	5	-1	13.7	16.9	-3.18	15.7	14.1	1.57
Jrue Holiday	76	76	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.26	-2	11	-13	14.7	17.5	-2.84	14.8	15.3	-0.56
Marreese Speights	21	20	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	9	-9	14.7	15.4	-0.69	16.8	14.4	2.39
Jodie Meeks	31	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.20	-9	18	-27	16.0	14.9	1.06	15.6	14.6	1.04

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	36	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-11	13	14.6	15.1	-0.47	14.5	15.8	-1.25
Charles Hayes	37	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-14	19	13.4	15.8	-2.44	15.9	14.8	1.14
Brad Miller	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-5	1	19.7	14.0	5.72	13.1	15.6	-2.52
Jordan Hill	18	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	0	-9	16.8	14.5	2.30	17.4	14.8	2.63
Aaron Brooks	34	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	16.1	14.3	1.83	16.8	14.5	2.31
Patrick Patterson	30	30	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	17.5	13.7	3.72	13.6	16.0	-2.37
Kyle Lowry	87	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	15.3	10.7	4.68	14.6	22.0	-7.37
Kevin Martin	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	13.9	17.5	-3.56	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Luis Scola	80	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-4	-1	14.2	18.5	-4.31	15.8	12.4	3.39
Shane Battier	73	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	0	-9	13.9	18.0	-4.01	15.4	14.8	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.03,0.07,0.11,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 106, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.9%
HOU 97, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0	93.7%
NJN 93, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.09,0.25,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	93.5%