NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	7.2 [413]		MVP	Andre Miller (PHI): +21.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	2.0 [487]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -29.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	6	88%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Shawne Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	8	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.06	0.10	-0.01	22	40%	0.13	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.04
Troy Murphy	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rawle Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	13	33%	-0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	6	42%	-0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31,-0.3	-0.17	-0.13	-0.00	17	14%	-0.30	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.21	0.21	0.02	0.17	-0.02	12	59%	0.27	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	12	53%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	11	60%	0.14	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.03
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	9	40%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Alan Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	11	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.06
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	30.0	15.0	27.1	2.6	39.3	141.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +67.8%

PHI +1.9%

IND -22.9%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	17.2	15.8	15.4	98.9	102.3	104.5
season	15.3	15.5		101.3	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	19.3	20.1	14.3	17.2
PHI	15.1	15.0	16.7	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rawle Marshall	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-4	4	17.0	17.2	-0.16	0.0	15.9	-15.94
Jeff Foster	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-5	6	18.9	16.1	2.78	17.5	14.7	2.71
Keith McLeod	46	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-5	6	18.1	16.1	1.97	16.2	15.3	0.86
Orien Greene	3	4	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	0	-4	20.3	17.0	3.29	12.5	15.9	-3.42
Ike Diogu	18	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	0	-4	16.4	17.3	-0.90	14.1	16.2	-2.07
Danny Granger	70	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.40	7	-11	18	16.9	18.1	-1.19	16.6	12.4	4.17
Shawne Williams	33	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-2	0	17.8	16.8	1.06	16.4	15.3	1.11
Jermaine O'Neal	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-3	2	17.5	15.5	1.98	16.0	14.6	1.42
Troy Murphy	47	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-2	0	15.5	19.1	-3.59	14.9	16.9	-1.99
Darrell Armstrong	41	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	1	-6	16.1	18.1	-1.97	15.3	16.2	-0.86
Mike Dunleavy	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	7	-18	17.1	17.4	-0.36	15.0	18.6	-3.59

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	56	54	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-7	18	15.3	16.6	-1.26	17.4	16.8	0.60
Andre Miller	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-4	12	15.5	16.7	-1.28	17.0	17.6	-0.57
Samuel Dalembert	59	61	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-6	16	16.4	14.6	1.80	17.2	17.1	0.12
Lou Williams	57	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	0	4	15.2	16.8	-1.66	17.1	17.2	-0.13
Bobby Jones	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-1	6	16.0	15.5	0.58	17.7	16.6	1.15
Kevin Ollie	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	4	-4	15.8	15.7	0.04	18.0	16.8	1.18
Willie Green	64	64	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.38	-9	13	-22	15.9	15.3	0.59	16.5	19.0	-2.56
Steven Hunter	47	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	4	-4	15.8	15.7	0.15	17.5	16.8	0.67
Alan Henderson	2	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	4	-4	11.0	15.9	-4.87	17.0	17.2	-0.16
Lou Amundson	14	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	13	-22	17.6	15.4	2.24	15.7	17.5	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.53,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.86,0.96,1	92.5%
MIL 92, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	92.0%
GSW 127, SAC 131	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.86,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.47,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.98,1	91.3%