NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	127		Excitement	8.4 [198]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (SAC): +40.3%
Sacramento Kings	131		Comeback	2.1 [410]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -12.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	16	74%	0.33	4	-0.17	6	83%	-0.00
Stephen Curry	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.04	0.00	24	63%	0.28	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	70%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Jenkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Festus Ezeli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.04,-0.04	0.15	-0.15	0.05	17	72%	0.14	2	-0.18	6	83%	-0.03
Draymond Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.19	0.24	0.03	12	88%	0.42	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	7	79%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.01	-0.02	15	63%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	7	68%	0.11	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	1	125%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	14	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.00	13	53%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.04
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	-0.00	12	57%	0.07	5	-0.19	18	78%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	27.4	15.6	27.5	1.8	44.4	142.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -3.8%

SAC +4.9%

SAC +25.6%

SAC +22.4%

SAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	13.7	14.3	15.4	123.3	127.2	104.1
season	14.6	15.0		104.6	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		109.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.6	13.2	13.4	13.6	13.7
SAC	14.8	13.4	14.3	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	89	88	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-4	4	13.9	12.1	1.79	14.5	12.7	1.80
Charles Jenkins	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-1	-2	12.6	13.8	-1.24	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Festus Ezeli	29	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	0	-4	13.4	13.8	-0.43	14.0	14.4	-0.34
Andris Biedrins	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	3	-10	17.0	13.2	3.79	15.2	14.1	1.10
Draymond Green	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-4	4	13.8	13.6	0.11	13.7	14.7	-0.98
Harrison Barnes	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	5	-14	13.6	13.7	-0.18	14.8	14.0	0.76
Jarrett Jack	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.45	5	-9	14	13.7	13.6	0.18	14.0	14.8	-0.76
Klay Thompson	81	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-4	4	12.9	16.5	-3.57	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Carl Landry	48	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-5	6	14.3	13.1	1.21	16.1	12.7	3.34
David Lee	95	96	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-4	4	13.8	12.4	1.43	14.1	17.3	-3.23
Richard Jefferson	7	7	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	9.7	14.0	-4.26	9.3	14.6	-5.35

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	66	66	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.51	11	-7	18	14.0	14.8	-0.76	13.2	14.5	-1.33
John Salmons	76	76	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-6	16	14.0	15.0	-0.94	13.5	14.2	-0.67
DeMarcus Cousins	82	80	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.47	6	-2	8	14.4	13.7	0.70	13.7	13.5	0.22
Marcus Thornton	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	2	0	14.5	13.9	0.55	13.8	13.5	0.32
Jason Thompson	73	74	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.16	17	-13	30	14.5	13.8	0.67	14.2	12.4	1.78
Francisco Garcia	24	24	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	-5	14	14.3	14.3	0.08	14.4	13.5	0.89
Charles Hayes	36	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.40	-11	15	-26	15.3	13.7	1.59	14.4	13.3	1.08
Isaiah Thomas	37	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	4	-4	14.2	14.3	-0.09	14.3	13.3	1.03
Thomas Robinson	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	9	-14	12.6	14.5	-1.91	11.8	14.0	-2.11
James Johnson	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	9	-14	12.6	14.5	-1.91	11.8	14.0	-2.11
Jimmer Fredette	31	31	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.12	-14	18	-32	14.3	14.2	0.07	13.0	14.0	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.86,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.47,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.95,1	91.9%
IND 86, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.53,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.92,1	91.3%
SAS 97, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.73,1	91.1%