NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	7.4 [370]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +11.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	1.2 [336]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (PHX): -12.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	-0.05	0.04	14	77%	0.17	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.15	0.10	-0.03	16	32%	0.10	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	0.07	-0.11	0.02	20	65%	0.18	6	-0.24	8	87%	0.02
Raja Bell	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	16	41%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	4	40%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.10	-0.01	15	67%	0.28	7	-0.17	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	19	51%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.01	11	55%	0.09	2	-0.12	7	100%	0.06
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	15	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	0.01	0.00	11	27%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	28.1	15.7	22.1	2.5	35.5	127.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -2.2%

PHI +10.8%

PHI +33.7%

PHI +7.3%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	13.9	15.6	15.4	96.9	101.0	104.5
season	13.8	15.5		112.2	101.7
opponent	15.7	16.0		105.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.3	12.8	16.2	13.5	13.9
PHI	14.3	16.5	15.8	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	68	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-5	5	13.6	14.7	-1.17	15.8	15.3	0.44
Steve Nash	80	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.40	5	-10	15	13.4	16.4	-2.97	16.8	9.9	6.94
Leandro Barbosa	83	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-2	-1	13.5	16.1	-2.53	15.0	18.9	-3.83
Raja Bell	89	89	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-5	5	13.6	17.4	-3.78	16.0	11.9	4.11
James Jones	41	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	6	-17	14.8	13.2	1.55	15.4	15.8	-0.47
Marcus Banks	31	32	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	7	-19	16.2	12.8	3.41	14.1	16.4	-2.27
Amar'e Stoudemire	93	94	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	14.1	10.2	3.81	15.3	23.5	-8.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	62	60	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-1	7	15.6	15.7	-0.07	14.2	13.4	0.77
Samuel Dalembert	68	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-8	21	15.5	16.0	-0.54	13.7	14.4	-0.67
Andre Iguodala	95	94	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	0	5	15.6	15.3	0.30	13.9	13.0	0.94
Joe Smith	44	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	4	-3	17.2	14.3	2.87	14.2	13.6	0.63
Andre Miller	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	7	-9	16.6	13.2	3.37	13.2	15.7	-2.49
Lou Williams	24	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	-1	7	12.8	16.5	-3.75	15.8	13.3	2.52
Kevin Ollie	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	5	-5	13.3	15.8	-2.44	14.5	13.9	0.63
Steven Hunter	54	56	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	14.7	16.8	-2.13	14.3	13.4	0.90
Willie Green	67	65	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	8	-11	15.7	15.4	0.39	13.3	15.2	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 86, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.53,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.92,1	92.5%
MEM 88, TOR 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.91,0.96,1	92.4%
UTA 97, HOU 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.77,0.9,0.99,1	92.0%