inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 100 Excitement4.2 [987] MVPRichard Hamilton (DET): +21.4%
Indiana Pacers 85 Comeback4.4 [465] LVPJamaal Tinsley (IND): -10.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0.210,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.150.070.011083%0.2100.00367%-0.00
Tayshaun Prince0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.11-0.010.031657%0.0800.001050%-0.02
Chauncey Billups0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.04-0.01855%0.0800.00475%0.01
Rasheed Wallace0.040,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.01683%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Ronald Murray0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.01-0.03350%0.0410.006100%0.03
Dale Davis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.03633%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Chris Webber-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01950%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.01642%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.001032%-0.051-0.02580%0.02
Carlos Delfino-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01410%-0.051-0.02250%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Granger0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01874%0.071-0.00367%-0.01
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.02475%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.011150%0.0400.00887%0.00
Ike Diogu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00356%0.0300.00333%-0.03
Orien Greene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04240%0.002-0.0010%-0.00
Maceo Baston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Keith McLeod0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01450%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
David Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01367%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.050.021662%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02743%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.021133%-0.051-0.01250%-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0100%0.004-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game479.52.529.216.828.22.628.2587.1
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +1.2%
DET +19.0%
DET +20.9%
DET +6.8%
DET +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETINDNBADETINDNBA
this game18.414.315.4113.696.6104.5
season16.815.3106.1101.3
opponent15.315.7103.9101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET21.116.018.817.718.4
IND12.519.215.511.114.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio McDyess42420.54-0.040.58-0.0520-52519.417.51.9515.713.12.58
Tayshaun Prince57570.420.080.33-0.0817-21919.815.83.9313.615.7-2.11
Chris Webber48480.410.090.310.021321118.518.20.3415.113.41.63
Chauncey Billups49490.400.100.31-0.1519-42320.016.33.6914.114.6-0.49
Richard Hamilton48490.370.130.230.01123919.816.63.1814.514.10.38
Lindsey Hunter40400.140.36-0.220.05312-916.619.8-3.1813.814.8-0.95
Ronald Murray39380.090.41-0.320.21-419-2316.320.0-3.6914.913.91.07
Carlos Delfino31310.080.42-0.330.14-217-1915.819.8-3.9315.713.62.11
Rasheed Wallace36360.060.44-0.38-0.08510-518.818.10.7615.113.81.30
Dale Davis110.060.44-0.380.06015-150.018.6-18.6020.014.35.72
Nazr Mohammed16160.000.50-0.500.09-318-2115.719.0-3.309.915.3-5.46
Jason Maxiell3333-0.070.57-0.640.08-520-2518.218.5-0.2312.715.3-2.63

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Harrison11110.00-0.500.50-0.062-171914.114.4-0.2916.618.6-2.00
Orien Greene1313-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-20259.915.1-5.1817.018.6-1.63
Keith McLeod1818-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-212710.215.4-5.1816.718.8-2.09
Ike Diogu2323-0.01-0.490.470.16-6-9315.314.01.2520.017.82.18
Maceo Baston89-0.04-0.460.43-0.071-16178.914.9-6.0115.318.7-3.40
Shawne Williams3332-0.19-0.310.130.19-13-2-1116.113.32.8017.319.0-1.74
Mike Dunleavy6061-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-131114.214.7-0.5019.516.03.50
Darrell Armstrong3840-0.21-0.290.09-0.15-2-131115.113.81.3517.419.2-1.81
Jamaal Tinsley4443-0.29-0.21-0.090.15-150-1514.314.4-0.0519.517.42.11
Jermaine O'Neal7171-0.510.01-0.52-0.01-172-1914.912.12.7618.517.80.70
Troy Murphy5756-0.580.08-0.65-0.14-150-1514.214.5-0.2718.518.20.26
Danny Granger6766-0.620.12-0.750.08-249-3314.713.11.5718.518.10.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 103, UTA 830.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.1%
MIL 87, MIN 720.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,093.5%
PHI 97, WAS 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,093.3%